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Technology Stocks : Stratex Networks, Inc. (STXN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rob Preuss who wrote (1659)7/22/2005 7:04:00 PM
From: The Ox  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1762
 
Just for review, here's my post from May:
New orders:
07/21/04 $45.5 Mil
09/09/04 Eclipse announced
10/25/04 $45.9 Mil ($12.3 Mil Eclipse)
01/27/05 $54.4 Mil (>$22 Mil Eclipse - 66% seq growth)
05/09/05 $63 Mil (>$30 Mil Eclipse 36% seq growth)

Note, while Eclipse orders are growing roughly $8 million per quarter for the past 2 quarters, other new orders continue to be solidly in the area of $32+ Mil. I have expected 'other' new orders to start falling as Eclipse ramps up but thus far they have not.


We'll know more in a few weeks. Eclipse order growth has been steady but by no means explosive. The table you posted suggests that order growth is about to become explosive. I wouldn't be surprised to see the order growth improve but the press releases don't seem to suggest explosive growth. I am guessing that Eclipse growth will be much better then last quarter but until we hear differently from the company, I won't be expecting anywhere near the growth suggested by your first table. Even the response seems to be way too bullish for me. I hope I'm wrong on this and that sales explode but I'm certainly not counting on it and neither are the analysts.

The stock has come a very long way since this spring's lows. Maybe order growth will improve substantially?