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Politics : Dutch Central Bank Sale Announcement Imminent? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: GUSTAVE JAEGER who wrote (23422)	7/31/2005 7:24:08 PM
From: sea_urchin	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 81011

Gus, I wonder what you think of this thesis? That the deliberate or inadvertent result of the impending civil war in Iraq is to strengthen the relations between US/Israel and Iran ie Shiites against the Sunnis ie Syria. Further, by increasing the religious polarization and animosity between the two Islamic factions a wedge is also driven into Pan-Arab nationalism. xymphora.blogspot.com >>For decades the main goal of Israeli foreign policy has been to prevent the Arabs from getting together economically politically, and secular Arab nationalism has been seen as the greatest threat to Israel. The Shi'ite clerical hierarchy that has controled Iran for 26 years now controls Iraq as well, thanks to the US of A. I foresaw this result before the invasion, and I am not psychic, terribly bright or especially well-informed. It is therefore difficult for me to believe that the experts at the Pentagon and Herzliya who planned this operation did not foresee it as well. It must be that either 1) there was a deal made between Iran, Israel and the Bushies in advance of the invasion of Iraq (even in advance of 911?), or 2) that the Israelis and neocons believed that the chaos caused to the Arab world would be worth the danger of empowering the Shi'ite theocrats without striking a deal. So maybe the end game of the War on Terror/Clash of Civilizations will include a nuclear attack on Iran, but we're now just in the early stages. The next target is the only country in the region that has not surrendered to the US or Israel and has remained true to non-sectarian Arab nationalism - Syria. The long-term Israeli plan has to answer the question of how Israel will build 'Greater Israel' when faced with a completely hostile Muslim world. The only answer is based on three principles: The divide-and-conquer approach as set out by Oded Yinon (and written about here many times); The 'doctrine of the periphery', the idea that Israeli interests can be advanced by making alliances with those non-Arab states like Turkey and Iran which are not adjacent to Israel; and The Shi'ite-Sunni rift within Islam. Israel's obvious enemies are mostly Sunnis. If you're going to be fighting Sunnis, the obvious trick is to create a new ally, a Shi'ite empire consisting of Iran and Iraq. The minor annoyance of Iranian support to Hezbollah is far outweighed by the advantages of creating a new and very powerful player in the Middle East, a player who, for religious reasons, probably hates your enemies more than it hates you. 'Greater Israel' can extend all the way to the Euphrates over Sunni lands, and your new friend may even help you (it will be a much bigger challenge heading towards the Nile!). In connection with this, watch the American media to sharpen its distinctions within Islam and concentrate on the fact that 'terrorists' are mostly Sunnis. Looked at in terms of the necessary arrangements in the Middle East for the creation of 'Greater Israel', the neocon plan is rather obvious (although it took this constant pushing of the idea of a war on Iran coupled with the contradictory action of Americans in Iraq to make it obvious to me). Neither Ledeen nor any other neocon has any intention of actually attacking Iran. The talk of attacks is merely intended to keep Iran in the hands of the radical theologians, who have been given a Shi'ite Empire through the handing over of Iraq. You need no other proof than the forced presence of the detested Chalabi, whose job all along was to forge an alliance with Iran. The new Shi'ite Empire will completely mess up the Middle East, and create tensions that will keep Israel's enemies busy for years, while Israel slowly builds 'Greater Israel'. It is a brilliant plan, which can only be foiled if pan-Arab nationalism can win out over fractures within Islam. The two countries most in danger of an American attack are Syria and, eventually, Egypt, and it is not a coincidence that these are the two countries most associated with pan-Arab nationalism. Nasser's version of pan-Arab nationalism led to the first American support of his enemies in the Egyptian Brotherhood, the most notorious manifestation of which is now called al Qaeda, so you can see how the world fits together.<<