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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gregewing who wrote (22066)7/31/2005 10:54:32 AM
From: stockalot  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 42834
 
Well that is a good question. One that I've asked on less civilized, but more active threads about Brinker.

Brinker always claimed that his model was either "bullish or bearish". If it was "bearish" he would be 100% teetotally out of the market. As we know in Jan 2000 made a "tactical asset allocation" and claimed he was "not bearish". He never made any substanial changes in that allocation, except to add a huge amount of QQQs to both conservative and aggressive investor portfolios after that.

My question has been, do you believe that Brinker will make a call in the next couple years? (remember he says this is a cyclical bull market in a secular bear with a lifespan of 1-3 yrs).

If you believe he will make such a call, do you believe he will go to 100% cash? ---only did that once in 88 and was wrong.

or make another hedged bet "I am not bearish this is a tactical asset allocation"?

Anyone think that he will use his favorite line of 2000 after the Jan call ever again?

"The way you make money in a bear market is to play the countertrend rallies?" LOL