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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: russwinter who wrote (37493)	8/1/2005 12:29:12 PM
From: CalculatedRisk	Respond to of 110194

"Should the UK economy suffer a prolonged slowdown or, even worse, eventually plunge into recession, that can only be bad news for the US economy. It would suggest that no amount of monetary and fiscal manipulation is enough to deal with the underlying issue of excessive, economy-wide, debt: after all, housing booms very rarely end in anything other than leveraged tears." Stephen King, Economist (sometimes scarier than Stephen King, Novelist!) news.independent.co.uk

To: russwinter who wrote (37493)	8/2/2005 5:56:51 PM
From: No Mo Mo	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

At this point, I don't see many economic observers of established credibility dispute the existence of a bubble. In a "when not if" environment, I'm curious to see some mainstream estimates of how far values will fall. Back in 1999 and 2000, some people on SI kept putting a "three digit NASDAQ" figure out there as a long term bottom. It hasn't happened (yet) but we did come w/in a couple hundred points and dropped about 75% from the ATH. On average, how far will this sucker go down and what metro area will be the JDSU/Pets.com of bubbleville??