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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: valueminded who wrote (34756)8/2/2005 8:53:01 PM
From: regli  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
I think that this is a bubble is awfully evident.

Clearly your experience in the Atlanta and Nashville area are not representative. I am personally not familiar with these markets. However, I am familiar with the markets in Las Vegas, L.A. and the Bay Area.

Here is the lead from the Economist on June 16, 2005

The worldwide rise in house prices is the biggest bubble in history. Prepare for the economic pain when it pops

economist.com

Here are a few charts from Contrary Investor of this month that illuminate the issue from a consumer standpoint quite nicely:

Household RE as a % of disposable personal income

home.earthlink.net

Household RE as a % of GDP

home.earthlink.net

Household debt service ratio

home.earthlink.net

Here is the full article

contraryinvestor.com

Here is a nice blog showing the development of inflation adjusted house prices by metro area

angrybear.blogspot.com

And here is an excellent blog from CR covering the price rent ratios:

calculatedrisk.blogspot.com

If the data and insight depicted here does not convince, nothing will.