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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (37859)	8/5/2005 12:56:49 PM
From: dpl	Respond to of 110194

"But these want adds seem to be for low paying jobs almost exclusively" That is right.Don't get me wrong.I believe that any strength that the econ has is from the RE bubble.In fact I think the bounce in the econ and the stock market is because the RE has entered it's blow off stage.That means it is creating even more credit that is leaking into the econ and stocks. We probably will get more "strong" econ numbers the rest of the year and that will keep the Fed raising rates.If this happens then RE is were stocks were in the fall of 1999.The Fed inverted in spring 2000. The LT cycle gives a zone of about 3 1/4% to 4 1/2% as enough to pop the bubble.If that happens I think we will have inverted.Everything then would be in place. David