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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: philv who wrote (37886)8/5/2005 1:41:06 PM
From: GST  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Markets are underpricing credit risk -- I think that is at least part of the answer. High risk mortgage loans are being priced is if they were low risk. These are likely to repriced as defaults snowball -- just my take on it.



To: philv who wrote (37886)8/5/2005 2:43:44 PM
From: Umunhum  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
<I can't understand why interest rates would rise on defaults. Any thoughts?>

Let's say you were loaning money out for people to buy cars. A year or two down the road you find out that you are losing money because of all the foreclosures you have to make. Are you going to continue loaning money out at the same rate?

Or as Mish thinks, are you going to loan money out at a lower rate???