SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Moominoid who wrote (67016)8/5/2005 6:31:49 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
"Peak oil is real and global warming is real too. We just have to put both in the proper perspective."
They are Siamese twins



To: Moominoid who wrote (67016)8/6/2005 12:33:47 AM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
The peak oil Cassandras are likely pulling in big consulting and lecture fees these days....



To: Moominoid who wrote (67016)8/6/2005 7:42:48 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Oil was important, not anymore. Proof below. As a result the economy can adapt to high and higher oil prices.

1973 the shock hurt because:
It was the first big one.
Leadership of the US was down (Vietnam War and Watergate)
Information travelled slowly (this is IMPORTANT!)
We had the Cold War
We didn't know that OPEC countries could spend any amount of money and the money would come back as recycled petrodollars

1979 the shock hurt because:
It was unrelated to oil
the world hadn't yet recovered from the first blow
The market still want to suck more money from the ones that didn't get it
The market wanted to suck more money form the ones that were vulnerable

1986 oil shock in reverse
The OPEC countries discovred that they needed to keep the money flowing and need more money and pump to their hearts delight
North Sea oil was flowing
The world had got rid of gas guzzlers
The market was getting the benefits of the countermeasures to save energy

Today's price spike:
We know all that bullshit and we are not panicking . oil went up? Gasoline went up? Who gives a shit!

In the past it was possible to use that great motivator of all: Fear. Today, no more.

It is more difficult to pull the wool over the eyes of the market

The oil game played is well known.