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To: skinowski who wrote (123130)8/19/2005 8:06:20 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 209892
 
I think that in the big picture we are in a topping area

Well you may be right but I am not in that camp until I see more calls being bought, more money in bull funds and subsequent to that (and most importantly) a chart breakdown in one of the major indices. IMO any rallies may very well remain sector/stock specific but I don't see anything shaping up yet to indicate a wholesale top is in or coming with the possible exception of the large ED patterns.

The one piece of sentiment which I find supporting the bears is the small spec position in the SPX contract is at 6 month highs. But even this number is still quite shy of where it was back in late 2004 when a larger correction evolved. But overall things are more lined up for a bottom for me, not a top.