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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Moominoid who wrote (67877)	8/19/2005 9:41:50 PM
From: Moominoid	Respond to of 74559

Now doing an AR read on DELL. DELL generates a lot of signals :) If you use the AR tool together with my MA tool you'd probably make good trading decisions on it. Especially when combined with the very clear E-Wave as well. The AR tool alone probably generates too many signals. Probably a weekly spreadsheet would be good here to filter it a bit more but can't be bothered... Here is one simple tool: stockcharts.com[w,a]daclyyay[pb89!b34][vc60][iLa12,26,9!Lh14,3]&pref=G See the 34 and 89 day MA's. As the 34 is above the 89 this cannot be the ultimate bottom for this move. Any other buy and sell signals generated are very short-term. The more MA's are stacked in the correct order when the AR model gives a buy or sell the more likely it is to be true. This is something I learned this Spring. On its own it is an easy tool to apply. Basically it is like the MACD - you can experiment with lots of different MACDs and get similar results. A 55 133 MACD about gives the same signals: stockcharts.com[w,a]daclyyay[pb89!b34][vc60][iLa55,133,9!Lh14,3]&pref=G

To: Moominoid who wrote (67877)	8/21/2005 1:29:29 PM
From: Shack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

you see DELL was one where I said the chart is really bearish and people (like Shack) said "are you crazy it is way bullish"... That's not really fair david, rather selective analysis of our discussion. I remember when we talked about DELL in early July you were looking down while I said it looked incomplete to the upside and did not look bearish at all. I stand by that, it did not. And actually it rallied $3, a decent move for that stock, right after our discussion up to $42 before the recent collapse. An awful long way against any sort of reasonable stop-loss for shorts.