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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Peter Dierks who wrote (697619)	8/22/2005 5:17:13 AM
From: JDN	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769667

Perhaps, or perhaps they are holding out for no constitution at all and continuation of this terrorism until USA pulls out and they think they can take over the country again with a strong man government. jdn

To: Peter Dierks who wrote (697619)	8/22/2005 3:50:24 PM
From: DuckTapeSunroof	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769667

"remember that the Sunni provinces have no easily exploitable mineral wealth. The Sunnis have to come to the table. If Iraq dissolves into three countries, the Sunnis will be cut out of all oil revenues." Yep. They screwed themselves by abstaining from voting. This is one of the main reasons that I believe a civil war is 'hotting up' there. The Sunnis will have to be defeated on the battlefield (by Shia/Kurdish local forces), and the country likely partitioned (formally, or informally with significant local control granted over natural resources) before the conflict will begin winding down. The main question remaining is how significantly Iran and Saudi Arabia will become involved in the civil war.