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To: Moominoid who wrote (68020)8/23/2005 11:49:04 PM
From: shades  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
He also took a 100 dollar bath in WMT - he has said many times - you will lose money on more than you make money on - but the trick is to cut your losses fast and ride your winners home, but the percentages long term work out that out of 10 trades - losing 100 dollars on 8 trades is OK if you make 1000 on 2 trades - he plays the probabilities like dat - like the blackjack player going for the long term percentage play - 51% long term makes you rich - 49% long term makes the house rich. He is not trying to get rich quick - get rich slowly I think - is that not a good idea? hehe Slagle said he shorted, he probably made big money - I am still holding - my stop was at 35 - I lost shorting SIRI a ways back too. I lost some shorting GOOG too - but I had stops and that saved me from losing more. I think phil admits he cannot predict where the big boys are gonna rotate the money into, so he plays the probabilities to catch thier money movements - fundamentally you think this is foolish? hehe Did Cramer have a stop point for DICKS? What is his strategy long term?

You look for the golden means - phil plays the probabilities.

Now I have watched a lot and read a lot on these professional blackjack players MOO - some have become super rich playing ther probabilities long term and making that 51% of the time winning make them rich - I have not read about ONE that is looking for waves or nautilus shell patterns in the disribution of the deck and have turned that into making them rich - why MOO?

I have not heard one casino say they got super duper rich because of less entropy - or more golden means analysis type stuff - but only because they have games that over the long term give them the slightest edge over their customers. Many state governments have also gotten into this racket with LOTTERIES - no where do I hear talk of WOLFRAM type stuff and cellular automata type anaylsis looking for the nautilus shell - hehe.



To: Moominoid who wrote (68020)8/24/2005 5:19:24 AM
From: shades  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Here you go MOO - 2 years paid leave to have a baby - can you imagine this in the USA? My liberal friends in GA have been giving welfare mothers 30 years of leave to squirt babies - hehe.

I have argued this point with so many women - they say shades - you are just trying to get us to spread our legs - shame on you shades, I say why is that a bad thing? hehe So hard to overcome thier brainwashing that they should wait til 40 to have a baby - and one wonders why we have all these kids with problems today.

commondreams.org

Published on Sunday, August 14, 2005 by the Sydney Morning Herald
In Praise of Female Sexuality
By Paul Sheehan

It's time someone praised and defended reckless teenage girls and young women who behave badly, dress provocatively, engage in risky sex, and get pregnant. They are the normal ones. The rest of us are the deviants. They are behaving in the most natural way. The rest of us are mutants.

There is nothing wrong with pelvic display, push-up bras, Gosford miniskirts, spray-on jeans, low-cut tops, bare legs, bare arms, bare ankles, G-strings or even buttock cleavage, providing the displayer is young enough to get away with it. A woman's body is at its fertility peak between the ages of 17 and 23. So when young women advertise or flaunt their sexuality they are being driven by a force far stronger than the Judeo-Christian ethic. They are driven by the power of peak fertility and a million years of evolutionary biology. Nature has programmed them for pregnancy, genetic diversity and keeping the species going. A big job.

Sexually active teenage girls, and sexually promiscuous women of any age, carry the greatest social burden of judgements, punishments, restrictions and risks because we haven't got the child-care equation right. These women are just doing their job. They are real, while the rest of the equation is artificial. Society is the collective weight of traditions, conventions, laws, habits, fears, tribes, taboos and technologies, permeated by a Judeo-Christian ethic dominated by men and designed to curb female sexual power. Our norms are also dominated by the ideology of materialism that is moving women further and further towards unnatural behaviour, pressuring them to have babies later rather than sooner.

This is society's real problem. Teenage pregnancy is trivial by comparison to suppressed pregnancy.

A healthier society would allow women to have children earlier than they do now. At 32, no matter what people want to believe, the reproductive system is far less robust than it was 10 years earlier. Our aim should be to have children born into a culture where there is plenty of support for child care in addition to the mother, thus liberating mothers to more fully exploit the possibilities that advanced society can offer them.

Children are the most important asset in our culture, so society should be structured around this central reality. Instead, we are structuring society around consumerism - a treadmill of bigger homes, more possessions, more holidays, more glamour - for which we run the risk of becoming impoverished. When the pattern of peak reproduction at peak fertility is broken, as it is now, women are forced by economic circumstances or social pressure to postpone pregnancy. Collective fertility inevitably falls, usually below replacement level. Societies such as Australia's and most in Western Europe now depend on imported fertility. Immigrants.

This brings us to the big political story, the significant expansion of the right to parental leave granted by the Australian Industrial Relations Commission last Monday. In the week since that decision was handed down, its importance has been drowned out by meaningless speculative clamour over the balance of power in the new Senate.

The new industrial award is exponentially more important. It gives an employee a right to request a maximum of two years of unpaid parental leave, up from one year. They can request to work part-time after returning from parental leave, until the child reaches school age. And they can request up to eight weeks of paternal leave (as distinct from parental leave), up from a maximum of one.

Such requests can be refused. However, the commission has placed a higher burden on employers, who are required to show reasonable grounds for refusal, rather than simply deny the request outright. This is a shift in the balance towards nurture. Will it hurt the job prospects of women? A good litmus test is the opinion of the super-dry economist Dr Des Moore, a former senior Treasury official and director of the Institute for Private Enterprise.

"There is no reason why parental leave cannot be negotiated between employers and employees," he told me. "If some employers cannot provide it, as would be the case with most small businesses, the job seeker who wants it can try elsewhere. If it is regarded as so socially important that it ought to be provided, which seems highly doubtful to me, then the Government should legislate, rather than allow half-baked judges to decide our social policy." (The "half-baked judges" would be the industrial relations commissioners.)

The Howard Government has responded tepidly to the full-bench decision. It can thank the Blair Government in Britain for these provisions. The new federal award is based in large part on amendments made in 2002 to its Employment Rights Act. The British experience suggests that most employers will seek to accommodate requests for flexible working conditions by the parents of young children.

A survey conducted last year of employees in Britain found that 77 per cent of requests for flexible work arrangements were fully met by employers, and another 9 per cent of requests were partially met. Thirteen per cent of all employees requested flexible working conditions for child care. Of employees with children under the age of six, 37 per cent of women requested flexible conditions, and only 10 per cent of men.

"In Britain, the great majority of requests, 86 per cent, for greater flexibility to care for young children have been agreed to by employers, and there has not been a single court case as a result of the changes," said Pru Goward, one of the supporters of the new provisions. Goward, John Howard's personal choice as federal Sex Discrimination Commissioner, has proved to be more of a handful than he might have expected. "In light of the industrial relations reforms being discussed by the Federal Government," Goward told me, "I hope this test case highlights the need for workplace flexibility in any proposed reforms."

Especially when it comes to child care. Back to you, Prime Minister. The tension between fertility and materialism is one of the great unresolved dilemmas of our time, not just for women, but for society.