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To: Constant Reader who wrote (134326)8/25/2005 12:14:36 PM
From: JohnM  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 793759
 
You might want to take a gander at a recent article by O'Leary that contains some comments on Sunni-Shi'a divisions:

Thanks, CR. I've just printed it out. I'm on the move today. Don't have the time to read long posts but will get do so either later this evening or tomorrow.

Check out Bill's post of David Brooks' column today for Peter Galbraith's comments, if you have not already done so. Very helpful. And somewhat along O'Leary's lines of thought though discussing Iraq as a whole rather than just the Kurds.



To: Constant Reader who wrote (134326)8/26/2005 6:04:13 AM
From: JohnM  Respond to of 793759
 
CR, I've now read the first O'Leary piece you recommended. I read him as arguing the best possible outcome in Iraq, at the moment, given how matters got to this point, is a loose, very loose, federalism.

That fits, broadly, with the arguments of Juan Cole and Peter Galbraith. Interestingly enough, Galbraith tends to come at Iraqi issues from the Kurds point of view, as does, of course, O'Leary; and Cole tends to come at it from the Shia point of view.

Cole seems most concerned about an outcome in which this conflict spirals into a regional civil war; Galbraith, as I recall, mentioned that worry in his most recent piece in The New York Review of Books. I don't see it in this piece from O'Leary.

That is the outcome that strikes me as most to be feared.

Thanks again for sending me the link.