To: ManyMoose who wrote (50241 ) 8/28/2005 11:16:29 AM From: GROUND ZERO™ Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 59480 Maximum sustained winds are 175 mph with gusts to 210 mph and continues to strengthen. A hurricane warning is now in effect from Morgan City, LA to the Alabama-Florida state line. A hurricane watch and tropical storm warning is in effect from east of the Alabama-Florida state line eastward to Destin, Fl and from west of Morgan City to Intracoastal City, LA. A tropical storm warning is in effect from Destin, Florida eastward to Indian Pass, Florida and from Intracoastal City, Louisiana westward to Cameron, Louisiana. Hurricane Katrina, as of 10 a.m. CDT, was centered near 26.0 north and 88.1 west. This is about 225 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River or 300 south-southeast of New Orleans. Maximum sustained winds were 175 mph with gusts to 210 mph. Katrina is moving west-northwest at about 12 mph and has a minimum central pressure of 907 mb, or 26.78 inches. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles from the storm's center, while hurricane force winds have a radius of 105 miles. Katrina is now moving west-northwest and will eventually take a track to a more northerly direction later today and tonight that will cause the powerful hurricane to take aim on the north-central Gulf coast. Katrina is a Category 5 hurricane. It continues to strengthen as it's central pressure falls. Satellite pictures indicate a well developed eye. The hurricane should track across a deep and warm layer of water over the central Gulf; and with little to no upper-level wind shear across the entire Gulf, further intensification will occur before making landfall Monday morning. The track of and the second landfall for Katrina depends on a continued weakening of an upper ridge of high pressure over the Southeast, a digging upper level trough of low pressure over the Midwest, and a building ridge of high pressure east of Florida. These 3 factors will combine to steer Katrina on a northwest and eventually northerly track Sunday into Monday morning. The most recent computer models show a consensus track over southeast Louisiana. Our latest thinking is that Katrina will make landfall near noon Monday over extreme southeastern Louisiana. Conditions will begin to deteriorate later Sunday, well in advance of the storm, with tropical-storm-force winds reaching the coast late Sunday and hurricane-force winds reaching the coast Monday morning. The winds will be strong enough to down not only trees and power lines but also bring down structures and make missiles out of objects that are not ties down. As the storm nears the coast Monday, a devastating storm surge will be pushed into the lower Mississippi Delta as the powerful southeasterly winds pile water into the area. The storm will also bring flooding rains well inland, and the risk for tornadoes north and east of the path of the center. Elsewhere in the tropics Sunday, a tropical wave along 42 west, south of 18 north, is moving west at 10-15 knots. A tropical low pressure system is now located near 20 north and 55 west; this is in an area with too much shear for development now, but as the shear weakens over the next 24-48 hours, the low could become a tropical depression. This low is moving northwest at 10 knots; no threat to land in the immediate future. Another tropical wave along 92 west, south of 19 north, is moving west at 15 knots.hurricane.accuweather.com GZ