Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

Banks (119 stocks)
BKX Amex Banking Index and RKH Regional Bank Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market BKX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Sep 8 98 66 59 40 66 89 -0.44
_Sep 7 99 87 82 57 72 89 -0.45
_Sep 6 99 89 83 57 71 82 -0.58
_Sep 2 98 62 51 34 62 51 -0.75
_Sep 1 98 76 60 45 63 -61 -0.79
_Aug 31 98 66 44 37 61 -83 -0.87 UP
_Aug 30 97 19 9 25 53 -84 -0.90
_Aug 29 98 32 18 33 61 -92 -0.76
_Aug 26 97 11 8 22 52 -91 -0.68
_Aug 25 98 31 13 41 66 -66 -0.45
_Aug 24 98 27 12 40 64 -33 -0.37
_Aug 23 99 37 18 43 66 -9 -0.20 DOWN
_Aug 22 100 63 29 52 66 -9 -0.15

Oil & Gas Drillers, Field Services, and Equipment (53 stocks)
OSX Amex Oil Services Index and OIH Oil Services Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market OSX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Sep 8 170 79 85 98 98 97 3.99 DOWN
_Sep 7 171 85 92 98 98 100 4.05
_Sep 6 171 89 92 100 98 100 3.96
_Sep 2 170 89 87 100 98 95 3.79
_Sep 1 174 100 100 100 98 85 3.68
_Aug 31 172 100 98 98 98 55 3.10
_Aug 30 166 98 70 98 98 -56 2.53 UP
_Aug 29 163 74 45 89 98 -79 2.39
_Aug 26 161 34 25 87 96 -57 2.52
_Aug 25 163 60 49 94 96 -64 2.79
_Aug 24 164 55 47 94 96 -70 2.89
_Aug 23 161 13 36 89 94 -94 2.95
_Aug 22 161 15 36 89 96 -94 3.26

Retailers (222 stocks)
RLX Amex Retailing Index and RTH Retailers Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market RLX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Sep 8 455 57 40 31 55 86 -0.90
_Sep 7 461 64 46 35 56 56 -0.96
_Sep 6 456 50 36 32 54 -45 -1.25 UP
_Sep 2 446 27 23 25 50 -64 -1.44
_Sep 1 448 31 22 25 51 -76 -1.27
_Aug 31 453 41 28 29 55 -87 -1.11
_Aug 30 448 23 16 21 53 -98 -1.08
_Aug 29 455 31 22 28 56 -100 -0.84
_Aug 26 451 21 18 24 55 -99 -0.81
_Aug 25 455 33 23 30 57 -98 -0.60
_Aug 24 451 26 19 28 57 -97 -0.47
_Aug 23 456 31 22 30 61 -98 -0.18
_Aug 22 456 31 21 30 60 -99 0.03

Drugs (76 stocks)
DRG Philadelphia Pharma Index and PPH Pharmaceutical Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market DRG 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Sep 8 331 78 79 72 63 100 0.31
_Sep 7 332 83 80 68 66 98 0.12
_Sep 6 330 82 76 64 64 98 -0.19
_Sep 2 326 79 66 59 62 91 -0.47
_Sep 1 325 74 67 59 62 59 -0.62
_Aug 31 324 72 58 59 58 -68 -0.74
_Aug 30 322 50 46 51 53 -98 -0.86 UP
_Aug 29 321 45 46 51 51 -98 -0.90
_Aug 26 318 38 39 47 50 -99 -0.89
_Aug 25 320 51 45 54 51 -99 -0.71
_Aug 24 319 42 38 49 53 -99 -0.57
_Aug 23 321 41 39 50 53 -99 -0.34
_Aug 22 324 51 50 57 55 -99 -0.13

link to August data
Message 21658507

9-month cycle

Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001

_ cycle tendencies
_ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range
Oct 10, 02 start start start 769 none
Nov 5 green green green 915 +146 924 +155 N.A. N.A.
Dec 2 yellow green green 934 + 19 954 + 39 872 - 43 81
Dec 26 red yellow green 890 - 44 934 + 0 880 - 54 54
Jan 21, 03 green yellow green 887 - 3 935 + 45 869 - 21 66
Feb 18 yellow red yellow 851 - 36 890 + 3 806 - 81 84
Mar 12 red red yellow 804 - 47 852 + 1 789 - 62 63
Apr 7 green green yellow 880 + 76 905 +101 804 - 0 101
May 2 yellow green yellow 930 + 50 930 + 50 863 - 17 67
May 28 red yellow red 953 + 23 959 + 29 912 - 18 47
Jun 23 green yellow red 982 + 29 1015 + 62 946 - 7 69
Jul 18 yellow red red 993 + 11 1015 + 33 962 - 20 53
Aug 6 red red red 967 - 26 1001 + 8 961 - 32 40
Sep 2 green green green 1022 + 55 1022 + 55 964 - 3 58
Sep 29 yellow green green 1006 - 16 1040 + 18 995 - 27 45
Oct 22 red yellow green 1030 + 24 1054 + 48 990 - 16 64
Nov 17 green yellow green 1043 + 13 1064 + 34 1018 - 12 46
Dec 15 yellow red yellow 1068 + 25 1083 + 40 1031 - 12 52
Jan 7, 04 red red yellow 1126 + 58 1126 + 58 1068 - 0 58
Feb 2 green green yellow 1135 + 9 1155 + 29 1115 - 11 40
Feb 27 yellow green yellow 1145 + 10 1159 + 24 1124 - 11 35
Mar 24 red yellow red 1091 - 54 1163 + 18 1087 - 58 76
Apr 14 green yellow red 1128 + 37 1150 + 59 1091 - 0 59
May 5 yellow red red 1121 - 7 1147 + 19 1107 - 21 40
May 25 red red red 1113 - 8 1121 + 0 1076 - 45 45
Jun 18 green green green 1135 + 22 1142 + 29 1110 - 3 32
Jul 15 yellow green green 1107 - 28 1146 + 11 1106 - 29 40
Aug 13 red yellow green 1065 - 4 1116 + 9 1061 - 40 49
Sep 7 green yellow green 1121 + 56 1124 + 59 1065 - 0 59
Sep 29 yellow red yellow 1115 - 6 1140 + 22 1101 - 17 39
Oct 22 red red yellow 1096 - 38 1142 + 8 1094 - 40 48
Nov 22 green green yellow 1177 + 81 1188 + 92 1090 - 6 98
Dec 23 yellow green yellow 1210 + 33 1214 + 37 1171 - 6 43
Jan 21, 05 red yellow red 1168 - 42 1218 + 8 1168 - 42 50
Feb 23 green yellow red 1191 + 23 1212 + 44 1164 - 4 48
Mar 22 yellow red red 1172 - 19 1229 + 38 1169 - 22 60
Apr 20 red red red 1137 - 35 1192 + 20 1136 - 36 56
May 16 green green green 1173 + 36 1179 + 42 1137 - 0 42
Jun 10 yellow green green 1198 + 26 1209 + 36 1160 - 13 49
Jul 6 red yellow green 1195 - 3 1219 + 21 1188 - 10 31
Aug 2 green yellow green 1244 + 49 1245 + 50 1183 - 12 62
Aug 26 yellow red yellow 1205 - 39 1246 + 2 1204 - 40 42
Sep 21 red red yellow 1241 + 36 1243 + 38 1201 - 4 42
Oct 18 green green yellow
Nov 14 yellow green yellow
Dec 7 red yellow red
Jan 3, 06 green yellow red
Jan 27 yellow red red
Feb 22 red red red

22-week cycle

Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11)
Dec 03-07, 01 11 weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4)
Feb 18-22, 02 22 weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3)
May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1)
Jul 22-26, 02 22 weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4)
Oct 07-11, 02 55 weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7)
Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2)
Mar 10-14, 03 22 weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11)
May 19-23, 03 10 weeks high 944 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7)
Aug 4- 8, 03 21 weeks trough flat 960 next high 1048 on Oct 21 (week 11)
Oct 20-24, 03 11 weeks high 1048 next high 1132 on Jan 9 (week 11)
Jan 5- 9, 04 22 weeks high 1132 next high 1163 on Mar 5 (week 8)
Mar 22-26, 04 54 weeks trough low 1087 next high 1150 on Apr 5 (week 2)
May 24-28, 04 9 weeks flat 1090 next high 1146 on Jun 25 (week 4)
Aug 9-13, 04 20 weeks trough low 1061 next high 1142 on Oct 7 (week 8)
Oct 25-29, 04 11 weeks flat 1090 next high 1218 on Jan 3 (week 9)
Jan 17-21, 05 23 weeks high 1186 next high 1229 on Mar 7 (week 6)
Apr 18-22, 05 56 weeks trough low 1169 next high 1219 on Jun 22 (week 9)
Jul 5-11, 05 11 weeks high 1219 next high 1246 on Aug 3 (week 5)
Sep 20-26, 05 11 weeks
Dec 6-12, 05 11 weeks

26-week Dow cycle troughs
Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379
Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks
Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks
Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks
Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks
Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks
Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks
Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks
Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks
Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks
Aug 6, 03 Dow 8997 length 22 weeks
Mar 24, 04 Dow 10007 length 32 weeks
Aug 13, 04 Dow 9784 length 20 weeks
Apr 20, 05 Dow 10010 length 36 weeks
sample size 13 Spring sample 7 Fall sample 6
total 341 weeks total 152 weeks total 189 weeks
average 26 weeks average 22 weeks average 32 weeks
st dev 2 weeks st dev 1 weeks st dev 3 weeks

next approximate Dow trough
Sep 7, 05 20 weeks minimum length in samples
Sep 21, 05 22 weeks average length in Spring samples
Oct 19, 05 26 weeks average length in samples

source of dates

timeanddate.com