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Politics : A Neutral Corner -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Lane3 who wrote (76)	9/13/2005 7:40:36 AM
From: Constant Reader	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2253

At the very end of her second essay, McArdle makes an observation that I thought might interest you: I don't know what sort of poor decision-making process led New Orlean's mayor to draw up an evacuation plan that acknowleged that 100,000 people would fail to evacuate, and leave it at that. But I can be pretty certain that it was a run-of-the-mill decision error of the sort that even the enlightened citizens of Europe might make, such as improperly assessing the risk of a low-probability event, and not a callous calculation that the lives of the poor were irrelevant. Last night, I ran across an interesting essay about one aspect of her point, assessing the risk of a low probability event. I thought I bookmarked it, but can't find the bookmark now and I only ran across it by accident so I am not sure I can locate it again but I will try.