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Banks (120 stocks)
BKX Amex Banking Index and RKH Regional Bank Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market BKX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Sep 22 96 10 13 11 46 -76 -0.91
_Sep 21 96 6 11 9 43 -46 -0.77
_Sep 20 98 22 24 19 54 50 -0.51 DOWN
_Sep 19 98 27 33 23 59 49 -0.44
_Sep 16 99 62 64 43 70 -23 -0.44 UP
_Sep 15 97 8 23 16 56 -26 -0.61
_Sep 14 98 7 15 13 55 19 -0.51
_Sep 13 98 18 36 26 63 35 -0.43 DOWN
_Sep 12 99 72 68 48 73 54 -0.35
_Sep 9 99 73 69 50 71 74 -0.38
_Sep 8 98 66 59 40 66 89 -0.44
_Sep 7 99 87 82 57 72 89 -0.45
_Sep 6 99 89 83 57 71 82 -0.58
_Sep 2 98 62 51 34 62 51 -0.75
_Sep 1 98 76 60 45 63 -61 -0.79

Oil & Gas Drillers, Field Services, and Equipment (53 stocks)
OSX Amex Oil Services Index and OIH Oil Services Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market OSX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Sep 22 174 59 74 87 98 99 3.89 DOWN
_Sep 21 176 79 77 87 98 100 4.01
_Sep 20 175 74 79 91 98 100 3.89
_Sep 19 177 85 85 92 98 98 3.75 UP
_Sep 16 171 57 75 87 98 78 3.39
_Sep 15 171 49 77 87 98 58 3.44
_Sep 14 170 43 75 89 98 51 3.49
_Sep 13 168 26 75 85 98 71 3.62
_Sep 12 169 51 81 96 98 89 3.97 DOWN
_Sep 9 174 94 96 98 98 97 4.21 UP
_Sep 8 170 79 85 98 98 97 3.99 DOWN
_Sep 7 171 85 92 98 98 100 4.05
_Sep 6 171 89 92 100 98 100 3.96
_Sep 2 170 89 87 100 98 95 3.79
_Sep 1 174 100 100 100 98 85 3.68

Retailers (224 stocks)
RLX Amex Retailing Index and RTH Retailers Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market RLX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Sep 22 434 12 14 15 36 -100 -2.71
_Sep 21 423 7 13 13 33 -100 -2.65
_Sep 20 429 17 22 19 41 -100 -2.11
_Sep 19 436 25 31 25 46 -100 -1.62
_Sep 16 443 38 40 28 50 -99 -1.27
_Sep 15 445 31 34 27 49 -66 -1.06
_Sep 14 447 33 35 28 50 57 -0.85
_Sep 13 452 55 44 32 53 90 -0.63 DOWN
_Sep 12 462 78 60 39 56 98 -0.54
_Sep 9 458 68 50 34 56 93 -0.76
_Sep 8 455 57 40 31 55 86 -0.90
_Sep 7 461 64 46 35 56 56 -0.96
_Sep 6 456 50 36 32 54 -45 -1.25 UP
_Sep 2 446 27 23 25 50 -64 -1.44
_Sep 1 448 31 22 25 51 -76 -1.27

Drugs (77 stocks)
DRG Philadelphia Pharma Index and PPH Pharmaceutical Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market DRG 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Sep 22 324 18 30 44 56 -73 -0.12
_Sep 21 323 27 42 48 58 -89 -0.01
_Sep 20 324 29 45 53 65 -61 0.17
_Sep 19 327 39 56 57 64 -43 0.31 DOWN
_Sep 16 328 47 64 69 64 50 0.38 UP
_Sep 15 326 40 64 57 62 63 0.37
_Sep 14 327 47 64 60 61 79 0.48
_Sep 13 327 60 70 60 62 94 0.55 DOWN
_Sep 12 331 79 79 69 64 99 0.64
_Sep 9 333 78 79 67 64 100 0.54
_Sep 8 331 78 79 72 63 100 0.31
_Sep 7 332 83 80 68 66 98 0.12
_Sep 6 330 82 76 64 64 98 -0.19
_Sep 2 326 79 66 59 62 91 -0.47
_Sep 1 325 74 67 59 62 59 -0.62

link to August data
Message 21658507

9-month cycle

Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001

_ cycle tendencies
_ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range
Oct 10, 02 start start start 769 none
Nov 5 green green green 915 +146 924 +155 N.A. N.A.
Dec 2 yellow green green 934 + 19 954 + 39 872 - 43 81
Dec 26 red yellow green 890 - 44 934 + 0 880 - 54 54
Jan 21, 03 green yellow green 887 - 3 935 + 45 869 - 21 66
Feb 18 yellow red yellow 851 - 36 890 + 3 806 - 81 84
Mar 12 red red yellow 804 - 47 852 + 1 789 - 62 63
Apr 7 green green yellow 880 + 76 905 +101 804 - 0 101
May 2 yellow green yellow 930 + 50 930 + 50 863 - 17 67
May 28 red yellow red 953 + 23 959 + 29 912 - 18 47
Jun 23 green yellow red 982 + 29 1015 + 62 946 - 7 69
Jul 18 yellow red red 993 + 11 1015 + 33 962 - 20 53
Aug 6 red red red 967 - 26 1001 + 8 961 - 32 40
Sep 2 green green green 1022 + 55 1022 + 55 964 - 3 58
Sep 29 yellow green green 1006 - 16 1040 + 18 995 - 27 45
Oct 22 red yellow green 1030 + 24 1054 + 48 990 - 16 64
Nov 17 green yellow green 1043 + 13 1064 + 34 1018 - 12 46
Dec 15 yellow red yellow 1068 + 25 1083 + 40 1031 - 12 52
Jan 7, 04 red red yellow 1126 + 58 1126 + 58 1068 - 0 58
Feb 2 green green yellow 1135 + 9 1155 + 29 1115 - 11 40
Feb 27 yellow green yellow 1145 + 10 1159 + 24 1124 - 11 35
Mar 24 red yellow red 1091 - 54 1163 + 18 1087 - 58 76
Apr 14 green yellow red 1128 + 37 1150 + 59 1091 - 0 59
May 5 yellow red red 1121 - 7 1147 + 19 1107 - 21 40
May 25 red red red 1113 - 8 1121 + 0 1076 - 45 45
Jun 18 green green green 1135 + 22 1142 + 29 1110 - 3 32
Jul 15 yellow green green 1107 - 28 1146 + 11 1106 - 29 40
Aug 13 red yellow green 1065 - 4 1116 + 9 1061 - 40 49
Sep 7 green yellow green 1121 + 56 1124 + 59 1065 - 0 59
Sep 29 yellow red yellow 1115 - 6 1140 + 22 1101 - 17 39
Oct 22 red red yellow 1096 - 38 1142 + 8 1094 - 40 48
Nov 22 green green yellow 1177 + 81 1188 + 92 1090 - 6 98
Dec 23 yellow green yellow 1210 + 33 1214 + 37 1171 - 6 43
Jan 21, 05 red yellow red 1168 - 42 1218 + 8 1168 - 42 50
Feb 23 green yellow red 1191 + 23 1212 + 44 1164 - 4 48
Mar 22 yellow red red 1172 - 19 1229 + 38 1169 - 22 60
Apr 20 red red red 1137 - 35 1192 + 20 1136 - 36 56
May 16 green green green 1173 + 36 1179 + 42 1137 - 0 42
Jun 10 yellow green green 1198 + 26 1209 + 36 1160 - 13 49
Jul 6 red yellow green 1195 - 3 1219 + 21 1188 - 10 31
Aug 2 green yellow green 1244 + 49 1245 + 50 1183 - 12 62
Aug 26 yellow red yellow 1205 - 39 1246 + 2 1204 - 40 42
Sep 21 red red yellow 1210 + 5 1243 + 38 1201 - 4 42
Oct 18 green green yellow 1215 + 5 1219 + 9 1205 - 5 14
Nov 14 yellow green yellow
Dec 7 red yellow red
Jan 3, 06 green yellow red
Jan 27 yellow red red
Feb 22 red red red

22-week cycle

Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11)
Dec 03-07, 01 11 weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4)
Feb 18-22, 02 22 weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3)
May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1)
Jul 22-26, 02 22 weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4)
Oct 07-11, 02 55 weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7)
Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2)
Mar 10-14, 03 22 weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11)
May 19-23, 03 10 weeks high 944 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7)
Aug 4- 8, 03 21 weeks trough flat 960 next high 1048 on Oct 21 (week 11)
Oct 20-24, 03 11 weeks high 1048 next high 1132 on Jan 9 (week 11)
Jan 5- 9, 04 22 weeks high 1132 next high 1163 on Mar 5 (week 8)
Mar 22-26, 04 54 weeks trough low 1087 next high 1150 on Apr 5 (week 2)
May 24-28, 04 9 weeks flat 1090 next high 1146 on Jun 25 (week 4)
Aug 9-13, 04 20 weeks trough low 1061 next high 1142 on Oct 7 (week 8)
Oct 25-29, 04 11 weeks flat 1090 next high 1218 on Jan 3 (week 9)
Jan 17-21, 05 23 weeks high 1186 next high 1229 on Mar 7 (week 6)
Apr 18-22, 05 56 weeks trough low 1169 next high 1219 on Jun 22 (week 9)
Jul 5-11, 05 11 weeks high 1219 next high 1246 on Aug 3 (week 5)
Sep 20-26, 05 11 weeks
Dec 6-12, 05 11 weeks

26-week Dow cycle troughs
Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379
Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks
Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks
Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks
Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks
Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks
Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks
Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks
Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks
Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks
Aug 6, 03 Dow 8997 length 22 weeks
Mar 24, 04 Dow 10007 length 32 weeks
Aug 13, 04 Dow 9784 length 20 weeks
Apr 20, 05 Dow 10010 length 36 weeks
sample size 13 Spring sample 7 Fall sample 6
total 341 weeks total 152 weeks total 189 weeks
average 26 weeks average 22 weeks average 32 weeks
st dev 2 weeks st dev 1 weeks st dev 3 weeks

next approximate Dow trough
Sep 7, 05 20 weeks minimum length in samples
Sep 21, 05 22 weeks average length in Spring samples
Oct 19, 05 26 weeks average length in samples

source of dates

timeanddate.com