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Gold/Mining/Energy : Copper - analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Stephen O who wrote (1290)9/29/2005 12:59:53 PM
From: Stephen O  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2131
 
Copper Rises to Record on Speculation Inventory May Decline
2005-09-29 06:03 (New York)

By Simon Casey
Sept. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Copper rose to a record in London for
an eighth consecutive trading session on speculation about a
decline in inventory, used by consumers to make up a shortfall in
supplies from mines.
Copper stockpiles tracked by the London Metal Exchange stand
at 83,750 metric tons, or less than two days of global demand. Of
that, 19,525 metric tons, or 23 percent of the total, is marked
for possible delivery out of warehouses. Another 4,350 tons has
been added to the total of unavailable metal, the exchange said
today in a daily report.
The unavailable metal ``seems to be the focus at the
moment,'' said Will Adams, an analyst at Saffron Walden, U.K.-
based metals information Web site Basemetals.com, in an e-mailed
report today. ``Bullish sentiment in copper continues to push
prices to new highs.''
Copper for delivery in three months on the LME traded as high
as $3,835 a ton. It was up $34, or 0.9 percent, at $3,820 as of
10:55 a.m. London time. The metal has surged 21 percent this year.
Copper demand in 2005 will beat production from mines and
recycled scrap by 85,000 tons in 2005, Morgan Stanley said in a
report last month.
Output may be disrupted if workers strike at the Kidd Creek
copper refinery and zinc plant in Ontario, owned by Falconbridge
Ltd., Canada's largest mining company. A labor agreement for 615
union workers at the plant expires Sept. 30.
No new contract has been agreed, Hemi Mitic, a spokesman for
the Canadian Auto Workers, which is negotiating on behalf of the
employees, said Sept. 26.

National Holiday

``The market is also focusing on developments at Kidd
Creek,'' said Angus Macmillan, an analyst at Bache Financial in
London, in an e-mailed report yesterday.
Copper also rose as China's cable and electric-wire producers
bought metal before a week-long national holiday starting Oct. 1.
Processors such as Jiangxi Copper Co. will keep working through
the week-long holiday. Shanghai's futures and spot markets will be
closed for the entire week.
``For processors, they have to buy copper at relatively high
prices to have enough feed for next week's holiday,'' Yuan Fang, a
metal analyst at Shanghai Oriental Futures Co., said today by
telephone from Shanghai.
Most other metals on the LME also gained. Aluminum rose $6,
or 0.3 percent, to $1,860 a ton. Nickel gained $20, or 0.2
percent, to $13,475. Zinc was up $3 to $1,415 and tin rose $50 to
$6,475. Lead dropped $3.5 to $946.

--With reporting by Yu Xiao in Beijing and Matthew Craze in
London. Editor: Wallace