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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Frank who wrote (50626)10/4/2005 7:34:13 PM
From: Wowzer  Respond to of 206104
 
LOL great story!



To: Frank who wrote (50626)10/4/2005 8:00:15 PM
From: Paul Senior  Respond to of 206104
 
Thanks, Frank. Great post!

... and I could use a good one today.

Still hanging on to all my shares of all my holdings.



To: Frank who wrote (50626)10/4/2005 8:15:39 PM
From: Big Dog  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206104
 
Heck Frank, you have so many kiddos....what's another? Just add some water to the Gumbo and you'll have plenty.

big (Reporting live from San Francisco)



To: Frank who wrote (50626)10/4/2005 9:11:12 PM
From: ChanceIs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206104
 
Louisiana says 9.8% of pre-storm oil, 9.7% of gas production back

>>>Hey!!!! 11.9% have been restored to production. We can certainly drive this van home!!!<<<

Washington (Platts)--4Oct2005

The Louisiana Dept of Natural Resources on Tuesday said 710, or 11.9%, of
the 5,949 onshore and shallow water oil and natural gas wells in a 38-parish
region have been restored to production in the aftermath of hurricanes Katrina
and Rita.
In addition, the agency said 1,903 wells, or 32% of the total, remain
shut in. The status of 3,516 wells, or 56.1%, of the region's total, has not
been reported.
DNR also put estimated restored oil production at 19,903 b/d, an amount
equal to about 9.8% of the region's daily oil production capacity of roughly
203,139 b/d before the two hurricanes. Estimated restored gas production is
216,300 Mcf/d, equal to about 9.7% of the region's pre-storm daily capacity of
approximately 2.235 Bcf/d.
DNR said that of the 55 pipeline operators in the hurricane-affected
parishes, one facility was reopened, 33 remain shut in and five are reporting
partial system shut-ins or flow. DNR said it has been unable to contact the
remaining 16 operators.




To: Frank who wrote (50626)10/4/2005 9:26:18 PM
From: energyplay  Respond to of 206104
 
OT/ A friends' daughter is like that - only she has done it about 5 times, with less damage off course. Even would park at an odd angle so the parents would not notice the missing headlamp...

One other item, Gale Norton is talking about visible above water level damage.

No word on under water pipeline damage.

Ivan had three causes of pipeline damage, powerful water currents, undersea landslides, and draging anchors and stuff from loose platforms.

I don't know enough about the water currents and landslides to comment, other than the Rita area is more target rich than Ivan was.

There was more stuff floating loose, and bigger stuff, too, like Shell's Typhoon.

I will make SWAG that it will be middle December, 2005 before there is a 90% assesment of underwater damage.

*********

Note that Everything in the GOM was shut down at one point.

Much of that was not near any exposure to the full storm impact.

For many of these platforms that have no damage, you can fly in , do the automated checks,and start ramp up.

So over the next two weeks we should see steady progress on the reduction of shut-in hydrocarbons.

In fact, I expect a straight line projection based on that will
look very bearish, since it would mean almost all production would be back by late January.

Look at the Ivan graph here :

tonto.eia.doe.gov

Scroll down, double click to expand graphs.

The reality of restoring production will take much longer.