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Politics : Idea Of The Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (49227)	10/9/2005 6:21:01 PM
From: IQBAL LATIF	Respond to of 50167

Why Iran will remain theocratic and Pakistan quasi-secular Oct 8, 2005 Iqbal Latif Paris, Persian Journal Will Iran have a counter-revolution within the next decade whilst Pakistan will become the world's latest theocracy! I cannot remember the number of times people make the tired prediction that Iran will have a counter-revolution within this decade whilst Pakistan will become the world's latest Sunni theocracy. It is vital to note that nowhere within the Islamic world has there been a successful revolution without crucial support of the army, it is the military that determines which and what type of government will rule the nation (since in most cases it is the only truly national institution which transcends ethnic - religious irredentism). Image of a strong man is integral to any Muslim society. From Morocco to Brunei we see quasi democracies or theocratic royalties with the exception of Turkey. Islamic armies of every nation have played a solemn role in continuity of a dictatorship or a tyranny; even quasi-democracy has been subject to the whims of the army if they decide to stay always like Egypt, it is only because they had their share of Colonel's revolutions and they feel quite adequate to stage manage the show by supporting a quasi democracy and autocracy. Sometime the armies in Islamic world discover a civilian face to counteract escalating currents of ideology more opportune. A fact omitted from scholarly study of the Iranian Revolution of 1979 is that the Shah was only overthrown because the military threw their lot behind their revolutions. The military commanders, such as General Qarabaghi, believed that the orders left by the Shah were to avoid bloodshed at all costs. iranian.ws