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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Pitera who wrote (7219)10/28/2005 12:38:57 PM
From: Jon Koplik  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 33421
 
My "rant" to WSJ on inflation / no inflation .........................................

Date: Fri, 28 Oct 2005 12:36:20 -0400
To: newseditors@wsj.com
From: Jon & Sharon Koplik
Subject: biased reporting on GDP / employment costs

From :

A WALL STREET JOURNAL ONLINE NEWS ROUNDUP
October 28, 2005 10:44 a.m.

********************************************************************************

"But a yardstick of inflation that strips out volatile food and fuel prices actually moderated. The "core" PCE price gauge rose 1.3% in the third quarter, down from 1.7% in the second quarter and well below the first quarter rate of 2.4%.

Such evidence that higher energy costs aren't yet flowing through to other prices is likely to keep the Federal Reserve moving along its path to higher interest rates."

--------------------------------------------------------------------------

So ... there is ZERO sign that "higher energy costs are ... flowing through to other prices"

but (according to your article) : "Such evidence ... is likely to keep the Federal Reserve moving along its path to higher interest rates."

PLEASE EXPLAIN.

Plus -- energy prices are not "high" any longer.

For example -- spot unleaded gasoline is now $1.60 per gallon, down from over $2.90 a gallon (right after Hurricane Katrina).

-------------------------------------------------

Also, your coverage of the ECI :

"A separate report from the Labor Department showed that labor costs were also on the rise in the quarter. The employment-cost index rose 0.8% in the July-September period, up from an unrevised 0.7% increase in the previous quarter. Wages and salaries grew 0.6% in the third quarter, matching their pace in the first and second quarters. Benefit costs, which have been growing faster than other compensation for several years, accelerated to 1.3% growth in the third quarter from 0.8% in the second quarter."

conveniently left out something I heard on CNBC (which I assume is correct) :

The year over year increase in the ECI of 2.3% is the lowest rate of increase in TWENTY-ONE YEARS.

Please explain how the ECI "showed that labor costs were also on the rise in the quarter"

Jon Koplik.