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Banks (120 stocks)
BKX Amex Banking Index and RKH Regional Bank Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market BKX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Oct 13 94 15 4 5 23 -89 -2.15
_Oct 12 93 4 3 4 20 -89 -2.14
_Oct 11 94 4 3 5 27 -88 -1.98
_Oct 10 94 7 7 8 31 -89 -1.83
_Oct 7 95 12 11 13 32 -98 -1.71
_Oct 6 95 9 10 9 32 -99 -1.70
_Oct 5 94 9 9 13 32 -99 -1.63
_Oct 4 95 32 22 20 43 -99 -1.46 DOWN
_Oct 3 96 63 34 28 52 -99 -1.31 UP

Oil & Gas Drillers, Field Services, and Equipment (55 stocks)
OSX Amex Oil Services Index and OIH Oil Services Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market OSX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Oct 13 156 2 2 9 89 -61 -1.95
_Oct 12 160 2 7 25 96 -61 -1.27
_Oct 11 162 4 13 29 98 -91 -0.82
_Oct 10 160 4 9 25 96 -100 -0.50
_Oct 7 162 5 16 35 95 -100 0.15
_Oct 6 159 2 4 24 95 -67 0.77
_Oct 5 163 4 18 47 96 53 1.84
_Oct 4 169 42 55 76 98 86 2.85
_Oct 3 175 78 84 82 96 99 3.46

Retailers (224 stocks)
RLX Amex Retailing Index and RTH Retailers Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market RLX 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Oct 13 425 18 22 15 30 -65 -2.60
_Oct 12 424 15 21 15 31 -41 -2.57
_Oct 11 428 29 29 20 34 -40 -2.44 DOWN
_Oct 10 429 37 34 22 36 -69 -2.43
_Oct 7 431 42 35 25 38 -93 -2.44 UP
_Oct 6 429 39 30 22 38 -65 -2.48
_Oct 5 428 32 20 18 36 38 -2.40 DOWN
_Oct 4 434 59 35 25 40 38 -2.26
_Oct 3 437 67 40 27 42 -57 -2.28

Drugs (79 stocks)
DRG Philadelphia Pharma Index and PPH Pharmaceutical Holders
_ percent stocks over MA Trend Price Phase
_ market DRG 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d Score Phase Change
_---------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ----- ----- ------
_Oct 13 317 13 23 32 44 -59 -1.30 UP
_Oct 12 316 14 16 30 44 -89 -1.31
_Oct 11 314 16 27 32 45 -100 -1.22
_Oct 10 317 28 32 34 48 -100 -1.03
_Oct 7 318 34 34 42 51 -99 -0.92
_Oct 6 319 38 35 42 51 -66 -0.79
_Oct 5 320 40 35 42 54 -64 -0.70 DOWN
_Oct 4 324 66 53 56 56 -62 -0.62 UP
_Oct 3 321 64 49 54 56 -94 -0.69

link to September data
Message 21754152

9-month cycle

Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001

_ cycle tendencies
_ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range
Oct 10, 02 start start start 769 none
Nov 5 green green green 915 +146 924 +155 N.A. N.A.
Dec 2 yellow green green 934 + 19 954 + 39 872 - 43 81
Dec 26 red yellow green 890 - 44 934 + 0 880 - 54 54
Jan 21, 03 green yellow green 887 - 3 935 + 45 869 - 21 66
Feb 18 yellow red yellow 851 - 36 890 + 3 806 - 81 84
Mar 12 red red yellow 804 - 47 852 + 1 789 - 62 63
Apr 7 green green yellow 880 + 76 905 +101 804 - 0 101
May 2 yellow green yellow 930 + 50 930 + 50 863 - 17 67
May 28 red yellow red 953 + 23 959 + 29 912 - 18 47
Jun 23 green yellow red 982 + 29 1015 + 62 946 - 7 69
Jul 18 yellow red red 993 + 11 1015 + 33 962 - 20 53
Aug 6 red red red 967 - 26 1001 + 8 961 - 32 40
Sep 2 green green green 1022 + 55 1022 + 55 964 - 3 58
Sep 29 yellow green green 1006 - 16 1040 + 18 995 - 27 45
Oct 22 red yellow green 1030 + 24 1054 + 48 990 - 16 64
Nov 17 green yellow green 1043 + 13 1064 + 34 1018 - 12 46
Dec 15 yellow red yellow 1068 + 25 1083 + 40 1031 - 12 52
Jan 7, 04 red red yellow 1126 + 58 1126 + 58 1068 - 0 58
Feb 2 green green yellow 1135 + 9 1155 + 29 1115 - 11 40
Feb 27 yellow green yellow 1145 + 10 1159 + 24 1124 - 11 35
Mar 24 red yellow red 1091 - 54 1163 + 18 1087 - 58 76
Apr 14 green yellow red 1128 + 37 1150 + 59 1091 - 0 59
May 5 yellow red red 1121 - 7 1147 + 19 1107 - 21 40
May 25 red red red 1113 - 8 1121 + 0 1076 - 45 45
Jun 18 green green green 1135 + 22 1142 + 29 1110 - 3 32
Jul 15 yellow green green 1107 - 28 1146 + 11 1106 - 29 40
Aug 13 red yellow green 1065 - 4 1116 + 9 1061 - 40 49
Sep 7 green yellow green 1121 + 56 1124 + 59 1065 - 0 59
Sep 29 yellow red yellow 1115 - 6 1140 + 22 1101 - 17 39
Oct 22 red red yellow 1096 - 38 1142 + 8 1094 - 40 48
Nov 22 green green yellow 1177 + 81 1188 + 92 1090 - 6 98
Dec 23 yellow green yellow 1210 + 33 1214 + 37 1171 - 6 43
Jan 21, 05 red yellow red 1168 - 42 1218 + 8 1168 - 42 50
Feb 23 green yellow red 1191 + 23 1212 + 44 1164 - 4 48
Mar 22 yellow red red 1172 - 19 1229 + 38 1169 - 22 60
Apr 20 red red red 1137 - 35 1192 + 20 1136 - 36 56
May 16 green green green 1173 + 36 1179 + 42 1137 - 0 42
Jun 10 yellow green green 1198 + 26 1209 + 36 1160 - 13 49
Jul 6 red yellow green 1195 - 3 1219 + 21 1188 - 10 31
Aug 2 green yellow green 1244 + 49 1245 + 50 1183 - 12 62
Aug 26 yellow red yellow 1205 - 39 1246 + 2 1204 - 40 42
Sep 21 red red yellow 1210 + 5 1243 + 38 1201 - 4 42
Oct 18 green green yellow 1186 - 24 1233 + 23 1168 - 42 64
Nov 14 yellow green yellow
Dec 7 red yellow red
Jan 3, 06 green yellow red
Jan 27 yellow red red
Feb 22 red red red

22-week cycle

Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11)
Dec 03-07, 01 11 weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4)
Feb 18-22, 02 22 weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3)
May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1)
Jul 22-26, 02 22 weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4)
Oct 07-11, 02 55 weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7)
Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2)
Mar 10-14, 03 22 weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11)
May 19-23, 03 10 weeks high 944 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7)
Aug 4- 8, 03 21 weeks trough flat 960 next high 1048 on Oct 21 (week 11)
Oct 20-24, 03 11 weeks high 1048 next high 1132 on Jan 9 (week 11)
Jan 5- 9, 04 22 weeks high 1132 next high 1163 on Mar 5 (week 8)
Mar 22-26, 04 54 weeks trough low 1087 next high 1150 on Apr 5 (week 2)
May 24-28, 04 9 weeks flat 1090 next high 1146 on Jun 25 (week 4)
Aug 9-13, 04 20 weeks trough low 1061 next high 1142 on Oct 7 (week 8)
Oct 25-29, 04 11 weeks flat 1090 next high 1218 on Jan 3 (week 9)
Jan 17-21, 05 23 weeks high 1186 next high 1229 on Mar 7 (week 6)
Apr 18-22, 05 56 weeks trough low 1169 next high 1219 on Jun 22 (week 9)
Jul 5-11, 05 11 weeks high 1219 next high 1246 on Aug 3 (week 5)
Sep 20-26, 05 11 weeks flat 1216 next high 1233 on Oct 3 (week 2)
Dec 6-12, 05 11 weeks

26-week Dow cycle troughs
Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379
Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks
Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks
Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks
Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks
Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks
Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks
Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks
Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks
Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks
Aug 6, 03 Dow 8997 length 22 weeks
Mar 24, 04 Dow 10007 length 32 weeks
Aug 13, 04 Dow 9784 length 20 weeks
Apr 20, 05 Dow 10010 length 36 weeks
sample size 13 Spring sample 7 Fall sample 6
total 341 weeks total 152 weeks total 189 weeks
average 26 weeks average 22 weeks average 32 weeks
st dev 2 weeks st dev 1 weeks st dev 3 weeks

next approximate Dow trough
Sep 7, 05 20 weeks minimum length in samples
Sep 21, 05 22 weeks average length in Spring samples
Oct 19, 05 26 weeks average length in samples

source of dates

timeanddate.com