SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: FiveFour who wrote (43447)10/14/2005 12:33:06 AM
From: Win-Lose-Draw  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
That's a very coherent (and accurate) explanation. The other thing worth keeping in mind is that shorting far-dated volatility is a form of russian roulette and it is not really logical to expect anything but significant contango from those willing to take that risk.

I don't think we're likely to see significant volume on this contract. They ran something like this on Eurex a few years back and it died from lack of interest. Volatility is not an easy thing to trade when its nothing but pros and propellerheads on the other end of the trade.



To: FiveFour who wrote (43447)10/14/2005 1:05:56 AM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 110194
 
thanks
Mish



To: FiveFour who wrote (43447)10/14/2005 1:10:14 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Is that contract always looking 30 days ahead?
At expiry is it an assessment of 30 days out or will it merge with the reported $VIX that everyone watches?

Mish



To: FiveFour who wrote (43447)10/14/2005 9:15:57 AM
From: Chaka  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
The VIX future can be out of sync with the VIX index and at least in theory, the closer to settlement date, the closer the two should merge.

Well, this is where I had a major problem - the VIX future did not converge with the VIX index the last two weeks, pretty much, for the August VIX (and it did not converge on tuesday or wed - ended up at a discount of 5 or 6 pts!!)