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Biotech / Medical : SARS and Avian Flu -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (2774)10/17/2005 8:53:39 AM
From: Think4Yourself  Respond to of 4232
 
re: "I think the chance of a H5N1 pandemic is greater than 5%."

I agree. It may have been less than 1% a month ago but it is much higher now. The more this geographically spreads the greater the chance of a jump to humans that can't be controlled. If it gets into a large chicken flock, the virus will go nuts and the chances for a mutation go up dramatically. I beleive this is why governments are now acting in a drastic manner each time it is found. They realize the odds of a worldwide pandemic just went up again. Given what I currently know about how this spreads and what it does, I do not find the act of slaughtering every domestic bird and quarantining the area when an infected bird is found to be at all unreasonable. The stakes are very high right now.