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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bill who wrote (707767)	10/18/2005 8:28:36 PM
From: BEEF JERKEY	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 769670

Mystery Pollster Demystifying the Science and Art of Political Polling - By Mark Blumenthal Getting Past the Noise: Bush Slide Continues " The decline in the President's approval is clear visually, and the local trend line in red shows how sharply the trend has departed from the blue linear trend for PRE-Katrina polls (Note the close fit of red and blue trends before August.) The model, corrected for differences among polling houses, now estimates a Katrina effect of -1.2%. Prior to Katrina, approval was falling at a rate of -.03% per day throughout 2005.... The bottom line: the President's approval has fallen all year, declining about 1% every month since January. But since August we've seen a sharper drop. [emphasis added] " mysterypollster.com