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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Pitera who wrote (7242)10/26/2005 6:37:15 PM
From: Stoctrash  Respond to of 33421
 
JP,
I too have been watching the 10y very closely the last 18+ months. I'm pretty sure any more of a move up is going to be squashed; not only because of the economic baggage the USA is towing, but all the sentiment that I'm hearing. Everyone I talk to says "rates are going much higher", some of them are down right panic/scared mode and doing anything they can to get "fixed".... and that's mom & pop mortgage customers as well as large commercial mtg players & lenders, etc etc.

Personally, I'm in the slightly higher camp for the end of 2005, say max of 4.70 - 4.80 range...with a nice "trashy" plunge next year as the econ falls on it's face to 4.1 maybe sub 4 again...yes...sub 4.<ballzy, crazy or dumb??>

You're certainly much more knowledge (aka fa-king smart) about how this all plays out with the World wide economic situation, so my view is just based on the stuff I know and understand here in the good ole USA.<GG>

Let's hope for the best....
Trash-o-lot