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To: Win-Lose-Draw who wrote (125556)10/29/2005 2:40:46 PM
From: Win-Lose-Draw  Respond to of 209892
 
Should add...P/C on its own has shown limited usefulness historically, but a high IV skew coupled with an extreme P/C reading (equity, index, doesn't really matter) is a pretty potent sentiment indicator.



To: Win-Lose-Draw who wrote (125556)10/29/2005 3:29:28 PM
From: Shack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
That's an interesting way of looking at it, I've never really looked at IV's but it makes a lot of sense. At what point would you consider the skew significant though? Is it based on relative history?



To: Win-Lose-Draw who wrote (125556)10/29/2005 3:41:58 PM
From: Henry J Costanzo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
WLD.....At the risk of displaying my ignorance.....gg

Aren't you getting pretty close there to simply determining VIX?? How does that show you anything very different ??



To: Win-Lose-Draw who wrote (125556)10/30/2005 11:08:42 AM
From: IHateSourCream  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
Pardon my ignorance -- what does "IV" stand for?



To: Win-Lose-Draw who wrote (125556)10/30/2005 8:00:54 PM
From: skinowski  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
This is a very elegant idea. Over the years I often noticed those "skewed" prices. Did you try charting those discrepancies and look for correlation with market action? Would be very interesting.

One question: Is it important to adjust for risk free rates?