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Biotech / Medical : SARS and Avian Flu -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Hope Praytochange who wrote (3076)11/3/2005 3:16:13 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 4232
 
John, there has been human to human transmission. The media and most people think there is some magical issue there. It's already and always has been human to human transmissible. You won't find the nurses and doctors having a snog with the H5N1 patients. They'll be keeping well clear. They know it's already transmissible.

The question is how much? At present, it's not very transmissible at all and fizzles out after infecting one or two immediate family members.

It needs to hook up with human flu to really get going.

Even when it hooks up with a human flu, it might be only transmissible in very favourable circumstances and fizzle after only a dozen people have been caught, or maybe a few thousand, or only a million.

It will depend on vectors of transmission available at the time. You can be sure that people will be reducing those vectors of transmission very rapidly once it gets on the loose. Just as they did with AIDS, which in 1983 looked as though it might score large swathes of the world's population. People stopped doing things which allowed the virus to propagate and it fizzled out to a chronic problem for those who were not mindful of the matter.

H12N8, the humanized version, will have a hard job getting a ticket on a 747. It won't find many people crowded into airport "security" lines, breathing over each other. People will soon figure out that "security" people are anything but.

People will stop kissing each other when the bug's on the rampage. The bug will be disappointed to find such a change in human behaviour. It will have to find another way to propagate. People will wear masks galore. They'll be washing their hands. They'll wave to each other instead of shaking hands. Or maybe bow like the Japanese, from a nice, safe distance. They'll use CDMA phragmented photon cyberphones to communicate instead of attending meetings in stuffy rooms. Bugs can't travel through the aether, but phragmented photons can.

Of course there is human to human transmission.

What's your problem with Henry anyway? I see from your "ignore" rating that you have problems with other people too. PeopleMarks 7
Ignored by 30
Threads Banned from 1

Try being a useful contributor instead of attacking somebody who is and you'll find greater acceptance.

Mqurice