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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bentway who wrote (44086)11/4/2005 12:36:36 PM
From: Live2SailRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
He's also talking about what would qualify as cheap for SF. There may still be demand in that range. I'm seeing a virtual standstill. No sales, but no aggressive sellers. The high-end does seem weaker than lower down.

L2S



To: bentway who wrote (44086)11/4/2005 12:42:19 PM
From: mishedloRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
Whether or not there is any more of it is mostly irrelevant.
Of all the locked in places with nowhere to build take a look at Japan. Real estate plunged 18 straight years regardless of it being completely developed.

Bottom line: home prices can not stay elevated above peoples ability to pay for them over the long haul. Over the short haul we have obviously proven that nothing matters.

San Francisco may be unique but it most assuredly is in a bubble and will get a very serious correction.

Bottom line. You are repeating a widely held belief of "scarcity" that has been discredited time and time again and will be discredited once again too.

Mish



To: bentway who wrote (44086)11/4/2005 12:54:27 PM
From: damainmanRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 306849
 
Agree w/ J. Chris Parson. SF is a place that people will always want to live, it's just a matter of finding the right price. The boondock places like Ca.'s Central Valley on the other hand, will really suffer in a downturn imo as the only reason they get traffic is because home prices are so high in the metro areas.