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Strategies & Market Trends : Bonds, Currencies, Commodities and Index Futures -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: c-hl who wrote (8375)	11/12/2005 11:15:32 AM
From: Real Man	Respond to of 12411

We'll see. I'm not arguing. You could be right. There are too many factors at work in the markets. I'll just sell once the spiral tells to, then buy when the new spiral breaks -g-.

To: c-hl who wrote (8375)	11/14/2005 10:43:33 AM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 12411

Today is trading day number 628 without a 2% down day. These occured once every 9 days for the SP in the late 90-s/early 00-s. Thus, the probability of such occurence by chance alone is 0. There are 2 scenarios: 1) the market is heavily manipulated on every downturn by the someone 2) there is a lot of put selling, and the market is extremely complacent. Maybe both. This statistical anomaly, and quite a few other anomalies, is why I suspect when we finally break down, we will break down hard.