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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mr.Creosote who wrote (45513)11/15/2005 2:42:08 AM
From: ahhaha  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
His risk-adjusted returns beat most on wall street.

There's no connection between having knowledge about finance and economics and having success in markets. In theoretical physics few physicists can do anything practical in physics. In different eras different investors do better or worse than others. It is fairly easy to do ok in markets by holding, but it's only lucky to do extremely well, and no one can control how they do over time.

If he was an amateur he'd blown out by now.

You should have learned by now that this is an error. How many pro baseball players violate all the standards of good play that are taught in little league? If you ask all the traders boasting on Yahoo boards, not one of them ever loses. I know plenty of pros who know nothing about FED or economics, yet do well at investing.

AG has made more major blunders than any other FED chairmen yet he is heralded as a great chairman. The more you know about these things, the less respect you will have for anyone. Everyone should realize they can't control anything, and they can't determine how they will end up in life.



To: Mr.Creosote who wrote (45513)11/15/2005 9:36:21 AM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194
 
Hussman is an excellent short term market timer but a very mediocre stock picker. He should stick to what he does best: timing markets over the short term.

The major flaw of Hussman is that he doesn't realize that what took place in regard to the decline in the Nasdaq from April 2000 through October 2002 was a once in a lifetime event.

The NYSE Composite Index, Russell 2000 and Dow Transports have all hit new all time highs this year. What kind of a Bear Market is that?

I expect the DJI to confirm by January 2006 at the latest and the Techs to play catch up.

Beating a Dead Horse don't pay well.