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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Kern who wrote (45723)11/17/2005 10:56:29 AM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
What puts to buy (or what to short), that is the main objective of my credit event crusade.

I think it was ild who most recently brought up the subject of title insurance companies. The strength they are exhibiting under current condition aroused my curiuosity.

LFG recently reported a "blow out" quarter and the stock has been generously rewarded.
biz.yahoo.com

However, TI is a simple business. It is all related to the number of transactions and refis. While I do not think that they will be the first real estate related sector to crash, their strength is yet another conundrum.

They may be short candidates simply based on valuation.



To: Paul Kern who wrote (45723)11/17/2005 11:28:15 AM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
LEND might have made a short term top here. But how rare is it for the market or leading sectors in that market to really crack during the holiday season? I'm thinking the real breakdowns don't happen till first part of next year.

Here are two year charts of subprime lenders who broke down earlier this year
139.142.147.19