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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ild who wrote (46040)	11/23/2005 12:29:25 PM
From: Ramsey Su	Respond to of 110194

This is not making sense, so it must be just the way MBAA sets up this index. From the weekly press releases, there is always one paragraph such as this one. The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 39.9 percent of total applications from 40.4 percent the previous week. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity increased to 33.2 percent of total applications from 32.9 percent the previous week. So ARMs applications couldn't possibly out numbers FRMs by ten folds. Yes, ARMs include all the hybrids (as far as I know).

To: ild who wrote (46040)	11/23/2005 1:45:24 PM
From: ild	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

Date: Wed Nov 23 2005 13:27 trotsky (bizarro, 11:57) ID#248269: Copyright © 2002 trotsky/Kitco Inc. All rights reserved there are frequently rumors that Deutsche Bank has gold-derivatives related problems ( always denied, of course ) . it's possible that the WAG sales are in part designed to help them and other big European banks out with this. it's certainly suspicious, in the 'where there is smoke there is usually also fire' sense. note also the steepness of the advance in Euro-priced gold after 350 was breached - sure looks like someone's position was squeezed. Date: Wed Nov 23 2005 13:20 trotsky (Aurum) ID#248269: Copyright © 2002 trotsky/Kitco Inc. All rights reserved don't be so thin-skinned. someone has to point out now and then that Sinclair is exaggerating a lot regarding the hedging issue. anyway, GSS is a buy at this price, it has a great growth pipeline and lots of blue-sky potential to boot. it just doesn't make sense to get hysterical over 75,000 oz. worth of sold calls imo ( obviously the 15K expiring this year don't need to be counted ) . granted, the stock has been an underperformer ever since it fell from grace last year, but as we have seen with numerous other cases, this year's dogs often become next year's big winners, and provided the gold price stays bouyant i suspect the market will begin to notice GSS's rising production and falling production costs next year. just trying to be helpful.