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To: DMaA who wrote (149064)	11/28/2005 1:01:58 PM
From: carranza2	Respond to of 794206

If that is how viruses worked, you'd be right, but they don't. Like all life forms, they are subject to the laws of evolution and natural selection. A mutation that increases the numbers of hosts as well as the distribution of the virus will be much more successful than one that doesn't depending, of course, on a lot of factors. Humans and birds seem to provide great Petri dishes for allowing these kinds of life forms to flourish. This is the extent of my knowledge about H5N1 and viruses in general. I rely on Henry, who is a tremendously gifted scientist. If he's concerned, I think we should all be. And as I appreciate it, he thinks that a mutation involving the ability for the virus to engage in human-to-human transmission is probably just a matter of time. It may already reached human-tp-human transmission as Henry notes that it took place in Indonesia in September. I don't know what happened afterwards. recombinomics.com Naturally, I hope he's wrong but if he is it won't be because his science is ill-considered or somehow not valid. In any event, I think he mostly speaks of probabilities and not certainties.

To: DMaA who wrote (149064)	11/28/2005 2:23:26 PM
From: Thomas A Watson	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 794206

Henry Niman's ..... Just more blather from one more technology know nothing. When things mutate, they tend to follow many averaging paths and some unique paths. What more likely??? One of the many averaging paths is one where H5N1 mutates to a not or less deadly form that passes human to human and create antibodies that will react to the killer form. cow pox vs small pox. We humans are still here and not wiped out after centuries. Those who job it is to spot something deadly are looking. What's the point in all the worry. I figure more will die of the worry. Who is the most deadly virus alive today? Islamofascists and then ......???????????.