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To: skinowski who wrote (126543)11/30/2005 2:14:28 PM
From: Henry J Costanzo  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 209892
 
SNS...don't have a very good record of trying to figure out relatively short-term moves and their timing......BUT....taking a look at the major index charts, I am strongly tending in the direction of looking for a down December, a fizzlin' Santa Claus rally, etc. The advances I see from mid- and late-Oct are so large and straight-up that they seem to be begging for some pretty good corrections....and without much further ado ....

BTW...this fuzzy view of mine would fit in with some of my arguments on the ED with Shack (of happy memory...g). Had been saying in that regard that the final 5 of the ED we're now in could extend some distance into 2006.....maybe as far out as through April.......If so, that would also call for considerable slowing-down/pullbacks..... beginning about now....



To: skinowski who wrote (126543)11/30/2005 3:59:08 PM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892
 
I tend to view Bear Moves (and Bear Markets) in terms of Hegel's Doctrine of Negativity or what most would call his dialectic. Without getting too philosophical, let me just say that I view the Bear as a moment which is preserved and surpassed within the Bull. Yes, the Bias is ultimately bullish.

In terms of the larger picture, I'm Bullish. The time to get bearish was in March 2000:

Message 13282653

Life is continual questioning.