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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Knighty Tin who wrote (42131)12/2/2005 9:34:33 AM
From: Roebear  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
Knighty Tin,
I know exactly what you mean about the PM stocks and they can be quite volatile. There is no substitute for hard earned experience in trading this sector.

Since we have had a 20 year bear market in the metals and have had inflation doing its work the whole time, I do not believe there is much risk in physical at this point and price, even at "23 year highs" as the headlines say.

Best Regards,
Roebear



To: Knighty Tin who wrote (42131)12/2/2005 9:52:09 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116555
 
Rock-a-bye market
Way up at the top.
If rates keep on rising
The bubble will pop.
And when the Dow breaks
The NASDAQ will fall
And down will come Greenspan
The dollar and all.

-- Sid Smith, Poet Laureate
The Richland Report and Market Commentaries

financialsense.com



To: Knighty Tin who wrote (42131)12/2/2005 9:55:51 AM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 116555
 
Greenspan urges swift action on deficit
Friday, December 2, 2005 2:41:49 PM
afxpress.com

WASHINGTON (AFX) -- Fed chief Alan Greenspan urged Congress to take steps to bring the federal budget deficit back into balance before it gets to be too late. "In the end, the consequences for the U.S. economy of doing nothing could be severe," Greenspan warned in a speech prepared for delivery to the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's policy forum on the federal budget outlook Friday. "The one certainty is that the resolution of the nation's unprecedented demographic challenge will require hard choices that will determine the future performance of the economy," Greenspan said

For all of 2005 fiscal year, the deficit was $318.5 billion, about 2.6% of gross domestic product. For the 2006 year, which began in October, the White House is estimating a deficit of $390 billion, about 3% of projected gross domestic product

Greenspan repeated his call for Congress to restore budget rules that have lapsed that would require any new spending programs to be offset by savings elsewhere

But he said budget rules alone will not solve the nation's budget problems

The U.S. must scale back the promises that have been made to future retirees, he said

"I fear that we may have already committed more physical resources to the baby-boom generation in its retirement years than our economy has the capacity to deliver," Greenspan said

Greenspan said it would be better for the economy if spending cuts rather than tax increases were used to close the fiscal gap

Greenspan did not dwell on current economic conditions or mention monetary policy. He said only that the economy has delivered a solid performance this year, despite the hurricanes, and "appears to be expanding at a reasonably good pace as we head into 2006."



To: Knighty Tin who wrote (42131)12/2/2005 10:05:46 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116555
 
WASHINGTON (AP) -- America's payrolls snapped out of a two-month hurricane-induced funk in November and grew by 215,000, the most since July. The unemployment rate held steady at 5 percent.

The fresh snapshot of the jobs situation by the Labor Department on Friday suggested that employers were feeling much better about hiring now that energy prices have retreated from record highs and the energy supply and transportation disruptions from the trio of Gulf Coast hurricanes are easing.

The pickup in employment in November came after two dreary months where hiring turned lethargic because of the devastating storms.

In October, payrolls grew by just 44,000, even less than the government first reported a month ago. But September's showing -- a month that bore the brunt of Katrina, the most costly natural disaster in U.S. history -- showed that jobs actually grew by 17,000, according to revised figures released Friday. That's an improvement from the loss of 8,000 jobs previously reported.

A recent string of good economic news, however, hasn't helped President Bush's standing with the public. He's been confronted with some of the lowest job approval ratings of his presidency.

In November, employment gains were broad based. Construction, retail, leisure and hospitality, education and health services, financial activities and even manufacturing all posted job gains.

The growth in payrolls in November was slightly stronger than economists were expecting. Before the release of the report, they were forecasting a gain of around 210,000 jobs. They also predicted the unemployment rate would stay at 5 percent.

"The job market has clearly recovered from the setbacks and dislocations caused by the series of hurricanes," said Stuart Hoffman, chief economist at PNC Financial Services Group. He was confident that the momentum on job growth would be maintained in the coming months.

Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan and his colleagues, at their Nov. 1 meeting, maintained that the hurricanes would only have a temporary depressing effect on employment and production. Friday's report -- along with other recent economic news -- has buttressed that notion.

In remarks taped for a conference in Philadelphia Friday, meantime, Greenspan said he fears substantial damage to overall economic health in the United States if strong action isn't taken to curb federal deficits that are likely to skyrocket as the baby boom generation retires.

It is likely Congress will have to make "significant adjustments" in reducing benefits to future retirees, he said, adding that it appears the country has promised more than it can afford to deliver in Social Security and especially Medicare payments, given that health care costs have been exploding.

To combat inflation, the Federal Reserve has boosted interest rates 12 times -- each in quarter point moves -- since June 2004. Another increase of that size is expected when the Fed meets next on Dec. 13.

Employees' average hourly earnings increased to $16.32 in November, up a modest 0.2 percent from October's $16.29. But over the year, hourly earnings rose by 3.2 percent, the biggest annual rise since March 2003.

While wage growth is good for workers, increases -- if they are sustained -- would be worrisome to investors and economists who fret about inflation pressures picking up.

In encouraging news for job seekers, the report showed that the average time that the unemployed spent searching for work in November was 17.7 weeks. That was down from an average 18.1 weeks in October and was the best showing since July.

Katrina slammed into the Gulf Coast in late August; Rita followed in late September. Those storms, which battered crucial oil and gas facilities, choked off commerce and destroyed businesses, sent energy prices to record highs and fanned inflation fears.

Wilma hit in late October, causing widespread power outages and property damage across Florida.

Friday's report showed that 37,000 construction jobs were added in November, partly reflecting rebuilding and clean-up efforts related to the hurricanes. Employment at food services and at bars, which fell in each of the prior two months in part because of the hurricanes, went up by 39,000 jobs in November.

Factories, which had been shedding jobs, boosted employment for the second month in a row, adding 11,000 in November.

Retailers added more than 8,000 jobs in November. Employment in the leisure and hospitality industry grew by 29,000 in November, after losing jobs in the prior two months. Education and health services, which cut employment in October, boosted jobs by 36,000 in November. Professional and business services added 29,000 jobs last month.

biz.yahoo.com



To: Knighty Tin who wrote (42131)12/7/2005 3:52:18 AM
From: maceng2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
And pollute! Whewy! I mean, you really have to hold your nose to buy FCX or NEM.

Well, I'm all for protecting the environment. In reality, the only method I can see of doing this (re NEM etc) is to become hugely rich and successful (bigger then Buffet and Gates combined) and then sending the chairman of NEM and FCX a note suggesting they clean up thier act regarding the environment.

I'm open to other ideas as always -g-