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To: Perspective who wrote (261)12/3/2005 1:49:09 PM
From: skinowski  Respond to of 656
 
Thanks. I tried to be "careful" in my interpretation, but realistically, what will have the most importance is the amounts of dollars committed to one side or the other, rather than the "type" of the contract. In this sense, the COT can be considered to be bearish for the market.

The often mentioned high short interest in Nasdaq stocks may not turn out to be a big factor. The (early) shorts must be so tired of losing money that many will cover the moment they make a little profit... or, simply if they can get out even. Wouldn't be surprised if the first bounce will be a sharp zigzag "squeeze".



To: Perspective who wrote (261)12/3/2005 4:24:43 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 656
 
softwarenorth.net
Other COTs
softwarenorth.com



To: Perspective who wrote (261)12/15/2005 10:09:01 AM
From: skinowski  Respond to of 656
 
By now, commercials are strongly bearish. In the meantime, "spring is in the air"... it "feels" as if some major bullish developments should be forthcoming. "Bears" these days are the ones who expect a pullback before the "larger" rally can resume. This means, I think, that once the decline begins, there will be plenty of dip buyers, and, after an initial scare, bullish expectations will be quick to return.


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