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To: ild who wrote (47326)	12/14/2005 3:05:24 PM
From: ild	Respond to of 110194

Date: Wed Dec 14 2005 15:35 trotsky (silverrain@Ahmedinajad's remarks) ID#248269: Copyright © 2002 trotsky/Kitco Inc. All rights reserved i think you underestimate the man's capacity for miscalculation. he may well simply think it's safe to sound off with the US military bogged down in Iraq and the world needing Iran's oil. plus it's a good bet that the West isn't his intended audience. why is the man so incensed all of a sudden? it may have to do with the breakdown of negotiations with the Europeans. considering the incontrovertible fact that fuel enrichment is part of NPT signatories rights, Iran apparently feels it is being unfairly singled out, and suspects the negotiations have not been in good faith. this is regardless of what its true intentions are w.r.t. nukes. in any event, Ahmedinajad has little diplomatic experience ( actually, none at all ) , and he's apparently a right wing theocrat. on the one hand it makes one wonder how seriously he should be taken, otoh, this is a guy who simply can't be gauged properly at this stage. is it all bluster? is it more? actually, i've always wondered, considering that Pakistan has gone nuclear quite some time ago, why everybody is blithely assuming the Iranians haven't already got nukes as well? it doesn't seem to be out of the question, even if it is unlikely. anyway, whatever the reason for the recent verbal belligerence, it can't be a good thing. in addition i believe it's very bad policy by the Shrubco enterprise to refuse all contact with Iran. they're talking to that crackpot in North Korea, why not to the one in Iran as well? it may help avert a tragedy.