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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ild who wrote (48462)12/30/2005 1:10:32 PM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
census.gov



To: ild who wrote (48462)12/30/2005 5:50:35 PM
From: Kailash  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
By country
census.gov

Countries and products details
census.gov

Advanced technology YTD October 2005 figures
census.gov
(Trade deficits in ATP started in 2002)

Obscure Economic Indicator: Port of Los Angeles container counts (lots of used paper gets shipped this way)
slate.com
slate.com (graph of empty vs full)

US trade with the rest of the world has of course increased dramatically as our trading partners became better off. But their imports to us have risen faster and are now far higher. We now run deficits with rich and poor alike.

census.gov

Main trading parters outside of North America (we run deficits with Mexico and Canada too, cf. census.gov

"The goods deficit with China increased from $20.1 billion in September to $20.5 billion in October. Exports increased $0.7 billion (primarily soybeans and civilian aircraft) to $3.9 billion, while imports increased $1.1 billion (primarily TV’s and VCR’s; toys, games, and sporting goods; and computers) to $24.4 billion."

Poor customers, big deficit.

Aircraft remain a huge export; even to the Europeans, we export nearly twice as much as we import. But it's a lone bird in a vast landscape.

"The goods deficit with the European Union increased from $10.1 billion in September to $12.1 billion in October. Exports increased $1.2 billion (primarily civilian aircraft, nuts, and agricultural farming products) to $16.0 billion, while imports increased $3.2 billion (primarily passenger cars; petroleum products; pharmaceutical preparations; and artwork, antiques, and stamps) to $28.1 billion."

Wealthy customers, big deficit.

"The goods deficit with Japan increased from $6.4 billion in September to $7.4 billion in October. Exports increased $0.4 billion (primarily civilian aircraft) to $4.9 billion, while imports increased $1.4 billion (primarily automotive vehicles, parts, and engines; and other industrial machines) to $12.2 billion."

Wealthy customers, big deficit.

These do not look like sustainable trading practices, unless there are vast figures not picked up by the statisticians (as "dark matter" theories have recently suggested).

We do run a trade surplus with some countries -- Holland, for some odd reason, tops the list -- but the numbers are modest:

census.gov

And they are not growing -- our trade surplus with the Netherlands has remained around this level for the past 15 years. The overall deficit, on the other hand, is still growing. At some point, we won't be able to borrow the money to pay for it.

Happy New Year!



To: ild who wrote (48462)1/1/2006 7:04:30 PM
From: GraceZ  Respond to of 110194
 
Grace, do you by any chance have a link about what exactly the US exports?

You can plug in any year into this and then scroll down to the bottom where they break it out in a list by product classes.

tse.export.gov

This is for the whole world/2004:

Total 817,935,849
84--NUCLEAR REACTORS, BOILERS, MACHINERY ETC.; PARTS 149,068,073
85--ELECTRIC MACHINERY ETC; SOUND EQUIP; TV EQUIP; PTS 124,803,540
87--VEHICLES, EXCEPT RAILWAY OR TRAMWAY, AND PARTS ETC 73,308,998
90--OPTIC, PHOTO ETC, MEDIC OR SURGICAL INSTRMENTS ETC 51,160,176
88--AIRCRAFT, SPACECRAFT, AND PARTS THEREOF 42,122,384
39--PLASTICS AND ARTICLES THEREOF 33,705,055
29--ORGANIC CHEMICALS 30,367,713
98--SPECIAL CLASSIFICATION PROVISIONS, NESOI 24,644,628
30--PHARMACEUTICAL PRODUCTS 19,506,790
27--MINERAL FUEL, OIL ETC.; BITUMIN SUBST; MINERAL WAX 18,954,856
71--NAT ETC PEARLS, PREC ETC STONES, PR MET ETC; COIN 18,092,726
10--CEREALS 13,136,432
38--MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS 12,553,018
48--PAPER & PAPERBOARD & ARTICLES (INC PAPR PULP ARTL) 11,482,739
73--ARTICLES OF IRON OR STEEL 9,419,097
72--IRON AND STEEL 8,917,444
12--OIL SEEDS ETC.; MISC GRAIN, SEED, FRUIT, PLANT ETC 8,682,108
40--RUBBER AND ARTICLES THEREOF 7,600,858
28--INORG CHEM; PREC & RARE-EARTH MET & RADIOACT COMPD 6,846,871
52--COTTON, INCLUDING YARN AND WOVEN FABRIC THEREOF 6,371,180
94--FURNITURE; BEDDING ETC; LAMPS NESOI ETC; PREFAB BD 6,255,272
76--ALUMINUM AND ARTICLES THEREOF 5,977,893
44--WOOD AND ARTICLES OF WOOD; WOOD CHARCOAL 5,867,086
33--ESSENTIAL OILS ETC; PERFUMERY, COSMETIC ETC PREPS 5,516,433
08--EDIBLE FRUIT & NUTS; CITRUS FRUIT OR MELON PEEL 5,368,753
02--MEAT AND EDIBLE MEAT OFFAL 4,771,190
32--TANNING & DYE EXT ETC; DYE, PAINT, PUTTY ETC; INKS 4,756,548
49--PRINTED BOOKS, NEWSPAPERS ETC; MANUSCRIPTS ETC 4,667,938
47--WOOD PULP ETC; RECOVD (WASTE & SCRAP) PPR & PPRBD 4,621,798
95--TOYS, GAMES & SPORT EQUIPMENT; PARTS & ACCESSORIES 4,225,899
70--GLASS AND GLASSWARE 3,879,154
97--WORKS OF ART, COLLECTORS' PIECES AND ANTIQUES 3,514,577
23--FOOD INDUSTRY RESIDUES & WASTE; PREP ANIMAL FEED 3,473,421
74--COPPER AND ARTICLES THEREOF 3,435,914
21--MISCELLANEOUS EDIBLE PREPARATIONS 3,428,131
03--FISH, CRUSTACEANS & AQUATIC INVERTEBRATES 3,307,478
83--MISCELLANEOUS ARTICLES OF BASE METAL 3,258,373
34--SOAP ETC; WAXES, POLISH ETC; CANDLES; DENTAL PREPS 3,231,441
82--TOOLS, CUTLERY ETC. OF BASE METAL & PARTS THEREOF 3,201,629
37--PHOTOGRAPHIC OR CINEMATOGRAPHIC GOODS 2,889,897
31--FERTILIZERS 2,846,078
41--RAW HIDES AND SKINS (NO FURSKINS) AND LEATHER 2,785,891
61--APPAREL ARTICLES AND ACCESSORIES, KNIT OR CROCHET 2,698,879
24--TOBACCO AND MANUFACTURED TOBACCO SUBSTITUTES 2,654,865
93--ARMS AND AMMUNITION; PARTS AND ACCESSORIES THEREOF 2,309,864
22--BEVERAGES, SPIRITS AND VINEGAR 2,258,501
20--PREP VEGETABLES, FRUIT, NUTS OR OTHER PLANT PARTS 2,202,464
07--EDIBLE VEGETABLES & CERTAIN ROOTS & TUBERS 2,151,307
15--ANIMAL OR VEGETABLE FATS, OILS ETC. & WAXES 2,023,416
62--APPAREL ARTICLES AND ACCESSORIES, NOT KNIT ETC. 1,877,031
54--MANMADE FILAMENTS, INCLUDING YARNS & WOVEN FABRICS 1,866,493
26--ORES, SLAG AND ASH 1,790,251
89--SHIPS, BOATS AND FLOATING STRUCTURES 1,784,073
86--RAILWAY OR TRAMWAY STOCK ETC; TRAFFIC SIGNAL EQUIP 1,762,987
19--PREP CEREAL, FLOUR, STARCH OR MILK; BAKERS WARES 1,758,481
55--MANMADE STAPLE FIBERS, INCL YARNS & WOVEN FABRICS 1,719,271
25--SALT; SULFUR; EARTH & STONE; LIME & CEMENT PLASTER 1,677,795
68--ART OF STONE, PLASTER, CEMENT, ASBESTOS, MICA ETC. 1,659,470
60--KNITTED OR CROCHETED FABRICS 1,658,579
35--ALBUMINOIDAL SUBST; MODIFIED STARCH; GLUE; ENZYMES 1,653,820
59--IMPREGNATED ETC TEXT FABRICS; TEX ART FOR INDUSTRY 1,462,902
56--WADDING, FELT ETC; SP YARN; TWINE, ROPES ETC. 1,430,737
81--BASE METALS NESOI; CERMETS; ARTICLES THEREOF 1,325,320
04--DAIRY PRODS; BIRDS EGGS; HONEY; ED ANIMAL PR NESOI 1,181,479
96--MISCELLANEOUS MANUFACTURED ARTICLES 1,179,260
63--TEXTILE ART NESOI; NEEDLECRAFT SETS; WORN TEXT ART 1,052,147
69--CERAMIC PRODUCTS 982,572
16--EDIBLE PREPARATIONS OF MEAT, FISH, CRUSTACEANS ETC 931,432
58--SPEC WOV FABRICS; TUFTED FAB; LACE; TAPESTRIES ETC 844,956
42--LEATHER ART; SADDLERY ETC; HANDBAGS ETC; GUT ART 819,736
57--CARPETS AND OTHER TEXTILE FLOOR COVERINGS 806,862
18--COCOA AND COCOA PREPARATIONS 790,877
17--SUGARS AND SUGAR CONFECTIONARY 733,966
75--NICKEL AND ARTICLES THEREOF 725,392
11--MILLING PRODUCTS; MALT; STARCH; INULIN; WHT GLUTEN 685,244
64--FOOTWEAR, GAITERS ETC. AND PARTS THEREOF 650,867
05--PRODUCTS OF ANIMAL ORIGIN, NESOI 565,973
91--CLOCKS AND WATCHES AND PARTS THEREOF 557,827
92--MUSICAL INSTRUMENTS; PARTS AND ACCESSORIES THEREOF 532,967
01--LIVE ANIMALS 518,768
36--EXPLOSIVES; PYROTECHNICS; MATCHES; PYRO ALLOYS ETC 494,190
09--COFFEE, TEA, MATE & SPICES 458,086
13--LAC; GUMS, RESINS & OTHER VEGETABLE SAP & EXTRACT 326,753
06--LIVE TREES, PLANTS, BULBS ETC.; CUT FLOWERS ETC. 312,344
43--FURSKINS AND ARTIFICIAL FUR; MANUFACTURES THEREOF 215,408
79--ZINC AND ARTICLES THEREOF 154,705
65--HEADGEAR AND PARTS THEREOF 128,351
78--LEAD AND ARTICLES THEREOF 109,426
51--WOOL & ANIMAL HAIR, INCLUDING YARN & WOVEN FABRIC 108,348
80--TIN AND ARTICLES THEREOF 85,959
67--PREP FEATHERS, DOWN ETC; ARTIF FLOWERS; H HAIR ART 52,794
45--CORK AND ARTICLES OF CORK 45,143
14--VEGETABLE PLAITING MATERIALS & PRODUCTS NESOI 37,146
50--SILK, INCLUDING YARNS AND WOVEN FABRIC THEREOF 29,843
53--VEG TEXT FIB NESOI; VEG FIB & PAPER YNS & WOV FAB 27,408
46--MFR OF STRAW, ESPARTO ETC.; BASKETWARE & WICKERWRK 25,604
66--UMBRELLAS, WALKING-STICKS, RIDING-CROPS ETC, PARTS 12,031



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