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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bilow who wrote (179120)	1/4/2006 2:00:30 PM
From: Lazarus_Long	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Oil production: Oil production rate has recovered back to 1.9m-2.2m bbl/d, 85% of pre-war level (2.58mbbl/d as of Jan 2003). Attacks on oil infrastructure declined since the last few months of 2004, 24 attacks as the peak, and around 6 in October 2005. This is not from IAGS, but I have found so far 3 reports of attacks on oil infrastructures in December 2005 (until 2005 Dec 27). Check out IAGS Iraq Pipeline Watch for attacks on oil infrastructures until 2005 Oct 31 (not updated since). Electricity: Electricty production is better than pre-war level (3300mW-4400mW), currently near 6000mW but below it. Department of Energy predicts it will reach 6000mW at the end of the year or the beginning of 2006. While electricity production is slowly increasing, it is still below the demands. Don't forget to check out other portions from the background page, from the menu on the right. This should give you a clear vision about Iraq's infrastructure today. freerepublic.com Again, oil production and export are not separated. However. because of the increase in the cost of oil beteween now and 2003, only half asmuch oil need be sold to get the same number of dollars. stockcharts.com[g,a]daclnnay[d20030101,20060101][p]&pref=G The CPI Inflation Calculator only allows me to go back to 2005, but $1 in 2003 was worth $0.93 IN 2005. data.bls.gov Adjusting for that, they would have to export 54% as much to stay even. Electricity use appears higher that previously, though still below demand. My guess for the electricity difference is that there has been some change to the pricing for electricity that has increased the demand by a very large percentage. Consequently, if electricity production remained unchanged, there would now be a large deficit as compared to demand. I'd call that a large stretch.