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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: FiveFour who wrote (3131)1/6/2006 4:38:14 AM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217576
 
To keep it easy, and more or less accurate on what I'm trying to figure out [the likely political trend], all of the below: <Could you please clarify? Because, I don’t know if you are referring to:
- people that were born in Mexico but now live in the US, either legally or illegally?
- or people that were born in the US that might have one or more ancestors that was born in Mexico?
- or people that were born in any country in latin american?
- or people that were born in the US but might have one or more ancestors that were born somewhere in latin america?
- or people with a spanish surname, whether they speak spanish or not?
- or people that might have native american ancestry from one of the one of the regions in central or south american?
- or maybe you mean anyone that is hispanic?
- or maybe you mean anyone that doesn’t consider themselves white or african american or asian or native american?

Also, what about hispanics that are mixed race?
>

Mqurice



To: FiveFour who wrote (3131)1/6/2006 3:20:36 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217576
 
Voting -

US citizens of Mexican ancestory for 2-3 generations back in California vote heavily Democratic.

If their ancestors arrived earlier, the Republican percentage keeps rising.

The same is roughly true in New Mexico, but it seems the Republican fraction does not get as large as in California.
New Mexico has some the oldest Spanish families in the US, but I believe the majority tends to be Democratic voters.

Arizona has simmilar pattern, but with everybody, even newer arrivals, shifted toward Republicans.

People whose ancestors arrived before roughly 1850 consider that part of their ancestory "Spanish" or "Californian" their ancestors may have fought against Mexico.
If they made above average money or part of the family held on to any part of their land grant, they tend to be Republican.
This group will tend to be majority Republican most elections, which is surprising in California, which is a strong Democratic state.

Texas is different - near continous intermarriage and a strong Rebulican bias have reduced the effects of when your ancestor arrived on political choices.

US Citizens of Mexican ancestory living in other states tend to follow the California pattern. Colorado may be an exception to this, but I don't have much insight there.

*****

US citizens of Cuban ancestory are still heavily Republican,
but with a small, growing Democratic slice.

The smaller number of US citizens with Cuban ancestory who where established in the US before the 1950s and Castro often have strong Democratic roots, and some will vote and donate to Democrats depending on the election.

I know much less about Puerto Ricans, but they tend storngly towards the Democrats. Puerto Ricans are born US citizens, and thus have different issues.

*****

For Central Americans, if they were poor or Indian (Guatamala, Honduras), they tend towards the Democrats. If they or their family previously fought the Communists or simmilar groups (Nicaragua, El Salvador) they tend to be Repulican.

I have little to no information about the other Latin American groups.

One prediction -
I expect the Venezuelans to line up with the Cubans who are strong Republicans....