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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Dennis O'Bell who wrote (179404)1/7/2006 6:58:20 PM
From: steve dietrich  Respond to of 281500
 
After being told by Bush for two yrs. that the insurgency wasn't an insurgency, but some Al-quida and foreignor terrorist, Why are we now negotiating with the insurgents to run Al-Quida out of Iraq. And, if fighting terrorist there rather than here is the objective, why run them out in the first place. Bush logic boggles the mind!



To: Dennis O'Bell who wrote (179404)1/8/2006 12:17:28 AM
From: Hawkmoon  Respond to of 281500
 
Hawkmoon, what goes around comes around.

Let's see... Bush has apparently not had a drink (or certainly not a relapse of dependency) since he became President.

Whereas, Clinton carried out his sexual high-jinks in the Oral err.. Oval Office, and then lied straight faced to the American people (and to Hillary) about it on national TV...

Bush has followed the advice and guidance of his military leaders, publicly asserting that they are the ones deciding the level of military forces they require.

Whereas, Clinton DENIED Military leaders, via Les Aspin, the VERY rational request for armored forces to act as a Quick Reaction Force in Somalia, leading to the tragedy of "Black Hawk Down"..

I'd think that the presidency of the US is far more critical than nearly any of these jobs, and have every right to demand a president who was born right the first time.

Y'know.. I'm just the opposite. I don't trust people who are "too righteous" and have never had a rough period in their lives. Those are the kind of people who tend to be condescending to the rest of us "flawed" human beings.

I don't like "posers" who pretend they have no flaws.

Bush would never have gotten where he is without nepotism, and any fool with a correctly irrigated brain can see this.

Don't disagree with you there. It was one of the things that made me uncomfortable with the thought of a father-son dynasty in the Presidency..

Hell, Al Gore's father was a Senator.

Kerry's mother is related to four different Presidents, and he has always been close to the Kennedy Clan (since 1962).

Clinton, Carter, and Reagan are the closest thing to "home-grown" Presidents that we've had in some years.

To have a president of the US proffer inanities about "catapulting the propaganda", and how it would be easier if it was a dictatorship,

Haven't seen those quotes, or the context in which they were made (serious, or tongue in cheek).. I well remember how Reagan caught crap when he joked about "pushing the button" and launching missiles against the Soviet Union..

As for all this Al Qaeda stuff, I can't fathom why we didn't put massive military presence in Afghanistan and finish the job the.

Because massive military force can also be counter-productive. The more troops you have in the country, the less you appear to be liberators, and the more you appear to be occupiers.

There have been mistakes made in Iraq.. There's no doubt, IMO, that we shouldn't disbanded the Iraqi army. At the very least, they should not have been permitted to just "fade away" undetained, undocumented, and un-interrogated/interviewed.

And we've waited far too long to properly engage with the Sunni tribal leaders.

But with Afghanistan and Iraq, IMO, we need to avoid the mistake of Vietnam, namely.. assuming responsibility for the security and political progress in those countries. We cannot permit the internal power brokers to abdicate their responsibility to recognize and share power with minority elements within the country. The axes they have ground over the course of decades, need to be buried and common interests accentuated (such as preserving and reviving an Iraqi identity that crosses religious and ethnic lines).

The problem with finding Bin Laden is cultural. Recall that Pakistan is almost equally divided between fundamentalist and secular muslims. The ISI and military were/are heavily influenced/infiltrated by Salafists sympathetic with the Taliban and Bin Laden. Musharaf has been walking a very fine line in order to retain power there.

Furthermore, Bin Laden and Zawahiri have taken great advantage of the custom of "sanctuary" that exists in the region. One just does not refuse sanctuary to someone who requests it. People in that region would rather die than face such a shame (recall that an American Navy Seal also asked for, and received such sanctuary, which saved his life).

So for Musharaf to go into these regions with his military, especially considering that many of them have NEVER previously had any large Pakistani military presence in the tribal areas, could possibly intiate a civil war in his country.

Besides, there's no guarantee that Bin Laden and Zawahiri aren't in Iran. There are a number of Al Qai'da leaders/facilitators living in Iran. Hell, one of Bin Ladin's sons lived in Iran for several years before being permitted to leave (the Iranians claimed they had "arrested" them.. which is BS).

And look... we have 150,000 troops in Iraq, along with an equal number of Iraqi soldiers/police, and we still can't nab Zarqawi (although we have come VERY close). Sure.. we've destroyed his Mosul network, and caused serious damage to his Baghdad, Fallujah, and Ramadi networks, but he's still on the loose.

No.. the key is to wait until the Iraqis are at such a level so as to be able to carry out the internal security of their own country, and then let them "invite" us to leave.

Bottom line, I think you're letting your own personal political biases influence your logic. Bush isn't perfect, and I think he's been given some very bad advice by some of this advisors.

But then again.. I only have to think about what state this country would be in had Al Gore won the Presidency.

After all, he's the guy who decided to change his vote on Desert Storm back in 1991, upon receiving the guarantee that he would be provided more time on the Senate floor to speak.

Read Alan Simpson's comments about Al Gore's decision to support Desert Storm (which was a case of clear Iraqi aggression against Kuwait) and see if that's the guy you would rather have been President.

freerepublic.com

Hawk



To: Dennis O'Bell who wrote (179404)1/8/2006 1:10:04 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
Staying the Course Compounds Iraq War
________________________________________________________

by Andrew Greeley /
Columnist
The Chicago Sun-Times
Published on Friday, January 6, 2006

Why did the Bush administration pick Iraq as a target for the war it needed and wanted? Why risk death to more than 2,000 Americans and more than 30,000 Iraqis? As part of his current public relations campaign, President Bush admits that much of the intelligence on which the Iraq war was based had been faulty. He assumes responsibility but blames the intelligence services. However, he goes on to say that the removal of Saddam Hussein was the "right" thing to do. Saddam is a bad man. He has killed his own people. He caused instability in that part of the world. He hates America. He was always a threat. We had to get rid of him.

Many Americans are willing even now to swallow such obfuscation even though it is a coverup for the phony rationale propounded two years ago.

The proper question is why, of all the bad people in the world, was Saddam targeted? The president's charges could be leveled against many of the sociopaths on the loose in Asia, Africa and South America.

Who but far-out liberals would object to an attack on Fidel Castro? Or Hugo Chavez? What about Kim Jong Il of Korea? Surely he is a greater threat to the United States than Saddam. Or the Muslim Arabs in Khartoum who have been practicing genocide against black Christians in southern Sudan and black Muslims in Darfur? Or the Shiite grand ayatollahs in Iran? Or the shifty Syrians who have been stirring up trouble for 30 years. Once we win "victory" in Iraq, who will be our next target? Not all these leaders, it might be said, are threats to the United States. But was Saddam a threat a couple of years ago? The president says he was, but where is the evidence that Iraqi terror was aimed at the United States? There is plenty of terror there now, but didn't our invasion and occupation create it?

With a wide selection of possible targets, why did the administration pick Iraq?

The first reason is that the administration needed a war as an excuse to enhance the wartime powers of the commander-in-chief. The United States had swept away the scruffy Taliban in short order. The "war" on terrorism needed another target. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld was sure that Iraq would be a pushover. Shock and awe, some special forces, and a compact expeditionary force would wipe out Saddam and all his troops in short order. Had we not driven them out of Kuwait as one would swat an annoying mosquito? It would doubtless be an easier job than even "taking out" Castro.

Moreover, the generally pro-Israel neo-conservative intellectuals assured the administration that a democratic Iraq would "reconfigure" the situation in the Middle East. The way to Jerusalem, they insisted, was through Baghdad. So Iraq was the obvious target for another "war on terrorism" even though the evidence that Iraq had cooperated in terror against the United States or was even planning on it was thin -- and we know now nonexistent.

Behind the administration's assumptions were two huge and costly errors. The first was that resistance in Iraq would collapse immediately. The president, the vice president and the secretary of defense were utterly unprepared for the insurgency and even now show no sign that they know what to do about it. The second was that Iraq was prepared for democracy. They assumed and still do that if you can organize a fair election and the majority wins, you have, ipso facto, a democracy.

What you are more likely to have is Shiite theocracy and a Sunni caliphate in civil war. There is no tradition in Iraq of a civil society in which the various factions would share power and abandon their historic propensity to kill one another -- a propensity recorded in all the history books about Mesopotamia that the neo-cons and the president had not read.

So the president's argument that America must "stay the course" in Iraq till "victory" is as worthless as his previous argument that Saddam possessed weapons of mass destruction. "Victory" will come only when Sunni and the Shia stop killing one another and that will not happen in the lifetime of any of us, a hopeless task as ought to be evident by now.

And, by the way, might one ask when the American bishops are going to follow the pope's good example and condemn torture, even when the victims are not American citizens?

© 2006 Chicago Sun-Times

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