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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: shades who wrote (46937)	1/11/2006 12:17:21 PM
From: gpowell	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 306849

Now you claim that the savings did not disappear - they simply shifted into real estate right? I said this: “Given the above charts it is quite evident that the typical household is making direct investments in real estate, either through the purchase of second homes or through improving the size and quality of their primary residence. That is where the majority of US domestic savings reside. What has occurred is that households have indicated their desire for owning relatively bigger and better homes. Thus, they have made direct investments, either through purchase, or existing home improvement. Now, what is important for this thread is the possibility that these actions have led to entrepreneurial error or a misallocation of resources. That, as should be evident, is not possible, as that is equivalent to saying that households are misallocating resources by choosing one brand of soap of another. Tastes may change later and thus the price of particular brand may adjust as well, but when one assumes that individuals are mistaken in their desire for one soap or another, or one size of house or another, or in their willingness to pay for a product, then that line of thinking leads directly to socialism. To sum up: households have used their savings directly in the production of housing and, therefore, are acting as entrepreneurs by responding to their own demand. BTW, none of what has been observed in the housing market is, or need be, fueled by additional central bank liquidity, and in fact, is (in part) a result of an adjustment to the systematic multi-decade reduction in excess liquidity.” Message 22043263