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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (49448)1/11/2006 12:32:22 PM
From: NOW  Respond to of 110194
 
mad, maybe, but HoW mad would it be? certainly if push came to shove, and we are a few years down the road, i can see it. Wasnt therei a tom clancy novel about that?



To: mishedlo who wrote (49448)1/11/2006 12:46:30 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Define "dump". If you mean wholesale selling, of course. At this point they don't need to dump to cause damage, they just need to stop buying, which is a whole different animal.....



To: mishedlo who wrote (49448)1/11/2006 1:51:33 PM
From: GST  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
<How unlikely it would be for China or Japan to dump treasuries it would be MAD>

That is an assumption on your part -- and not a very good one at that. A slowdown in the US economy will make it harder to finance our current debts, and it would add to the rate at which our debts are being incurred. This would happen at the same time as China has less ability to bail us out. If the bailout job becomes too big and if the ability to bail us out grows, the madness is on your part to assume that China can and will continue to play this role. If China can no longer support us then it is MAD to assume they must and will support us.