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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: shades who wrote (47255)1/19/2006 1:16:21 PM
From: gpowellRead Replies (2) | Respond to of 306849
 
Kessler mangled the specie-flow mechanism in that piece. He missed the essential point of the specie-flow mechanism, which is that the purchasing power of money (ppm) in every country remains constant relative to each other. Thus, any increases in gold supply confined to one country flows out until local and world prices of gold are equilibrated. That’s really all there is to it, but Kessler gets confused because he confounds money prices with real prices.

Look at what Kessler states: Success from selling $15 shirts for $5 meant gold moved into England, increasing money supply, and causing inflation. The inevitable increased wages theorized by the classical gold standard would make England’s goods less competitive, until gold flowed out and trade was balanced. But that would in no way close the gap between the $15 handmade shirt and the $5 power-loomed shirt. But why penalize progress?

Above he comes to the perverse conclusion that higher productivity causes inflation! He must think that the gold standard forced an equilibration of labor productivity, as that is the only way he can come to the conclusion that progress is penalized under a gold standard. With respect to Kessler’s example, England’s labor wages would likely rise with increased productivity, and as a result of that gold would flow into England in order to keep domestic prices constant with world prices. But this would not and could not cause inflation under a gold standard. Gold flows are very much the tail.

With regards to his view on banks: As an aside, it is bizarre that fractional reserve banks, which describe just about every bank in existence today, are basically bankrupt. A deposit in a bank is an asset for you and me, but it’s a liability for the bank, since it owes us the money. But then the bank lends out the depositors’ money as loans, and those loans are a bank’s assets. Banks almost always have “assets” less than “liabilities,” and therefore a negative net worth.

One might ask how this guy worked in the financial industry and can call fractional reserve banking “bizarre.” He is essentially asserting that loans are not assets because they are someone else’s debt. Something another financial industry guy, heinz blasnik, did as well. When one considers that embodied in an asset is an implied promise of future resources then one should see that debt and assets are equivalent constructs. The main difference between loaning resources to another party (i.e. creating debt) and exchanging those same resources for an asset is the moral hazard that the other party will default on their promise. While both exchanges carry risk, moral hazard is absent from the asset exchange.