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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Keith Feral who wrote (180373)	1/20/2006 12:02:57 PM
From: Peter Dierks	Respond to of 281500

Some of the Iranians are very unsettled with current leadership. Just the fact thar the Ayatollahs had to purge dozens of names from the ballots tells us there are both people willing to lead in a different direction, and that they have confidence that there are many followers. This leads one to believe that a significant portion of the population would welcome regime change. We of course need more international and national support, so we would have to ratchet up the rhetoric for a while. We do know tat Iran sponsors terrorists, so hezballah would probably show up in force. There would be terrorism just as there was in Iraq. The American domestic enemy would claim we were losing it, in another attempt to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory like they did in Vietnam. I heard on the way to work that IRan is transferring its foreign reserves out of Europe. They were impounded when they were in the US. So are they going to set up banking in Bahrain? I believe that President Bush has been attempting to set up either peaceful regime change or conflict to do the same with Syria. If I am right, Iran has been delegated as a way of proving that the UN and EU are ineffective. After Syria is secured, then we can turn our attention to undoing the harm done by Europe in Iran.

To: Keith Feral who wrote (180373)	1/20/2006 3:07:19 PM
From: Hawkmoon	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

I guess we have to assume the worst case where none of the Iranian people support the invasion. I may be wrong, but methinks the US has a few other options it could pursue, including supporting dissidents and opposition leaders within Iran and giving them a bit of what they've been giving Iraq and the rest of the region. I also think such a course would win covert support from other countries in the region.. But this is just a complete guess on my part. All I know is that with the level of governmental disapproval within Iran, an invasion is the last resort we'd want to rely upon. Hawk