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To: Jill who wrote (6377)1/20/2006 4:15:24 PM
From: dkrive  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 15857
 
Yes, and GOOG could recover like SNDK did. But, that is a low probability possibility. SNDK has always been characterized by wild shifts (as an investor both long and short in it since 1999, trust me!) GOOG has not. In fact, its beta has been extraordinarily low until recently. Second, SNDK is 1/10 the size of GOOG. Frankly, the law of large numbers may be at play here. GOOG may have just grown too far, too fast.



To: Jill who wrote (6377)1/20/2006 4:15:58 PM
From: Trader J  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15857
 
I have to agree with you there Jill. I haven't seen anything material change to cause a decline. The first shot was the YHOO earnings call and now this ... and both aren't enough to justify this decline.

Kissy and others can relate all they want to the .com crash but that is an apples to oranges comparison.

I am ALL ABOUT catalysts into rising stock prices and falling ... towards determing some level of risk reward. I haven't seen any catalyst yet that dictates this should have happened. I didn't load the boat but I did add calls on the way down and decided not to add another set when it hit 395 ... just to see what happens next Monday, should be interesting.

On the "I can't believe I didn't do it" side of the coin. I can't believe I didn't add those 20 JAN 440 Puts at .55. The cost would have been just over $1000 and the return $80k.