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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Crabbe who wrote (3681)	1/20/2006 11:37:14 PM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 221268

<<The twenty second century is 94 years away>> It all depends on ones perspective, and to some, we are well past the 22nd century worldmarket.blogspot.com , since preparations are being made to welcome "4703, YEAR OF IRRESISTABLE FORCE VS IMMOVEABLE OBJECT" chugs, J

To: Crabbe who wrote (3681)	1/21/2006 3:25:51 AM
From: Maurice Winn	Respond to of 221268

R, depends what you mean by "the human mind": <we don't have to go that far to make computers competitive with the human mind to accomplish office tasks such as data research, business communication, accounting, payroll, etc.. Already computers have essentially replaced typing pools, stock brokers, half the accounting force, telephone operators, telephone receptionists, the list is long. 20 years, 30 years, 50 years, 100 years, what does the time factor matter? It is inevitable, it is obvious, and we are doing absolutely nothing to prepare for it.> There are plenty of human minds which were superseded by ENIAC. To beat the best in every department will take a long time, but as you say, It doesn't have to replace everything all at once and replacing all those you mentioned is a good start. They have been freed to do more useful things. And speak for yourself about doing nothing to prepare. I've not only been preparing, I've been flat out funding the whole process and enjoying the profits. I am going to have to move to be closer to 100 megabit per second fibre rather than at the end of an over-priced twisted pair, albeit with ADSL running through it, so there is some preparing required. Communities which live away from cyberspace will be like chimps living in a jungle. They'll fall further behind and the humans which can synergize with cyberspace will set up shop elsewhere. That has already happened to some extent, with incomes in the cyberspace realms such as New York, London, Tokyo etc enjoying huge incomes compared with bush babies in Eketahuna. I think people expect a Frankenstein monster to suddenly be released from a lab, rather than what is actually happening, which is a gradual development, imperceptibly, subtly and relentlessly, like an exponential curve. A bit like the industrial revolution started millennia ago and gradually built up to a crescendo in the 20th century. By the time people realize what's really going on, it has happened. Most people still don't really know that there was an industrial revolution and just what it meant, how it came about and why some countries are now super-power technological realms. They talk about wealth as though it's something that places like the USA, Switzerland and Japan found somewhere and that the wealth should be spread around. Oil is largely found wealth [especially Saudi oil] and it would be reasonable to argue that sort of wealth should be shared. But inventive energetic productivity is created wealth and belongs to those who produce the goods and services. Mqurice