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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TimbaBear who wrote (50581)1/21/2006 2:06:13 AM
From: glenn_a  Respond to of 110194
 
Timba.

(smile) Yes, well these issues can certainly be abstract and complex.

I really appreciated your comment "I have many questions and few of those answers (if any) but I will not simply ignore the outside influences because they don't fit my modeling". I think it is so important to appreciate that we all filter our perceptions around models, and that, being human, the assumptions we make in creating our models are always incomplete or subject to being proven incorrect if the "facts" prove otherwise.

I found your assumptions clearly stated, your conjecture of an "open" system where the value of the US$ (and hence deflationary/inflationary impacts) being significantly at the mercy of holders of US$ claims well-considered (though the US monetary authorities could potentially reneg on those claims), and your mind open to alternate points of view.

So, if I haven't ballooned your head to twice its normal size (smile), I would say yes, your questions and considerations made a good deal of sense.

Best wishes,
Glenn