SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Alphabet Inc. (Google) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (6431)1/22/2006 3:07:24 PM
From: Gabriel008  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15857
 
I agree that spending was probably heavy in Q4 but this comprises 3 types of expenditures; asset purchases that can only be depreciated or amortized; expenses that can be matched against GOOG revenues; and other expenditures that cannot be matched against revenue [yet] and will have to be capitalized in the meantime. That's why I plugged in an across-the-board 40% expense factor. If all expenditures could be expensed the number would be much higher.

I don't think the market is anticipating much higher than the best analyst estimate of $1.94 & if that's the case we should be ok. In q3 GOOG beat consensus by 12%. If they beat by 12% in q4 that equates to $1.97. So, I'm guessing $1.90 to $1.97 we stay flat. Anything lower & we go down. Anything higher than $2 and we go up. I also think $2 is a big psychological number for the market.

BTW, I'm trying to fine tune my relative search growth index. For that, I need to get a better handle on % Pricing Power [ie., + or - by Q]for GOOG & YHOO and Q to Q growth in global search. Got any ideas?